(Technical change on this timeframe is often limited though serves as guidance to potential longer-term moves)
Since kicking off 2017, USD/JPY has been busy carving out a descending triangle pattern between 118.66/104.62.
The month of March concluded by way of a long-legged doji candlestick pattern, ranging between 111.71/101.18, with extremes piercing the outer limits of the aforementioned descending triangle formation.
Areas outside of the noted pattern can be seen at supply from 126.10/122.66 and a demand base coming in at 96.41/100.81.
Daily timeframe:
Alongside the RSI indicator firming through its 50.00 value, price movement overthrew the 200-day SMA value Monday, currently circulating around 108.32.
Active supply is limited until we near the 111.30 region along with familiar supply at 112.64/112.10, according to local price action.
H4 timeframe:
Recent upside lifted USD/JPY to supply at 109.71/109.20 yesterday, which intersects with a 50.0% retracement level at 109.30. Beyond here we don’t see much stopping price from reaching 111.30, as aired on the daily timeframe, whereas a rejection, aside from the possibility of support emerging off 108.72 (blue arrow), has demand at 106.75/107.22 to target.
H1 timeframe:
Demand for the safe-haven Japanese yen diminished Monday as markets entered a risk-on environment. Early London witnessed USD/JPY takeover 109 and, in US hours, retest the latter as support, bolstered by a supply-turned demand base at 108.90/108.62.
While price is contained within an ascending channel pattern between 107.82/108.67, upside appears relatively clear to 110, which boasts reasonably sound history as an S/R base.
Structures of Interest:
Having noted daily price crossing above its 200-day SMA, monthly action also showing room to explore higher ground and H1 flow retesting 109 as support with scope to press higher, H4 supply at 109.71/109.20 may give way today.
With the above taken into account, we may see further buying off 109 today, with the possibility of filling the current H1 ascending channel formation.
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