20200331 Short USDCNH

31 Mar 2020

Chinese March PMI data beat expectation. Manufacturing PMI jumped from 35.7 in Feb to 52 in Mar. (Exp. 44.8) while Non- manufacturing PMI jumped from 29.6 in Feb. to 52.3 in Mar. (Exp. 42). Data shows that the economy has been stabilized since the outbreak of the virus. Now might be stronger comparing to the U.S. Technically, USDCNH is still above 7, and relatively high comparing to recent highs. Daily MACD is currently downward sloping, stochastic also passed overbought zone, might be a chance to sell USDCNH.