On the 4-hour chart, the downward correction develops as a wave 2. Now the wave a of 2 of the lower level has formed, and the development of the wave b of 2, which has reached the correctional level of 62%, has ended. If the assumption is correct, the pair will fall to the levels of 1.2820–1.2740 within the wave c of 2. In this scenario, critical stop loss level is 1.3250.
Main scenario
Short positions will become relevant below the level of 1.3250 with the targets at 1.2820–1.2740. Implementation period: 7 days and more.
Alternative scenario
The breakout and the consolidation of the price above the level of 1.3250 will let the pair grow to the level of 1.3500.
Trade
Scenario
Timeframe Weekly Recommendation SELL Entry Point 1.3135 Take Profit 1.2820, 1.2740 Stop Loss 1.3250 Key Levels 1.2740, 1.2820, 1.3250, 1.3500
Alternative scenario
Recommendation BUY STOP Entry Point 1.3255 Take Profit 1.3500 Stop Loss 1.3175 Key Levels 1.2740, 1.2820, 1.3250, 1.3500
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