USD/CAD Long Term Analysis

The USD/CAD is still in bull momentum in the shorter and medium term. However, looking at the weekly chart, we can see we're fast approaching a key zone. This zone is at around the 1.1600 to 1.17250 handle, and is both a major supply zone as well as the 61.8% of the big 09-11 down move. Therefore, we'd be looking for a longer term short at these levels. In this regard, it is also worth mentioning that when we take a look at the overall price structure on the weekly, the bear move was far more impulsive than the long corrective sequence of which we are currently in. Fundamentally, this trade may also coincide with a basing and shift higher in oil prices, so that is also worth mentioning as a cross market reference point for a trade of this nature.