US 500
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S&P 500 - Medium term upside or lower lows?

104
In our previous post we outlined how we distinguish tow different scenarios.
Either we are in a ABC to the upside targeting 4300 and possibly beyond (as labeled in the main chart, green arrow) or we are in wave 3 of C targeting lower lows and the completion of the bearish wolfe wave pattern.
We stated how we believe the first scenario to be more likely, but the broadening patterns, the fact that priced failed to take out 4136, bearish divergence on rsi and the wolfe wave that still has a lower target suggests that the bearish scenario is still a possibility.
This may unfold as below:
anlık görüntü
In each case, a movement to the downside is now expected. We evaluate the probability of the two scenarios once more price action unfolds.
Breaking the major trendline and retesting or fake out? Stay tuned.
We are short from @4050 stop loss 4065.5 risk 0.6% of equity
Not
anlık görüntü
corresponding situation on nasdaq100, labeled according to the medium term bullish scenario
İşlem aktif
stop extended 4080 risk 1.2%
Not
added avg entry 4056 stop loss 4084.5 risk 1.5%
Not
iperextended.. giving some breath upon the close
İşlem aktif
anlık görüntü bullish count or bearish count.. this is a triple three or a leading diagonal for wave C, and has high chance to retrace big part

Feragatname

Bilgiler ve yayınlar, TradingView tarafından sağlanan veya onaylanan finansal, yatırım, işlem veya diğer türden tavsiye veya tavsiyeler anlamına gelmez ve teşkil etmez. Kullanım Şartları'nda daha fazlasını okuyun.