US500 running into long-term downtrend

If we break 3900$ most probably we are sliding slowly towards 2800$. Considering FED hawkishness, China's real estate problems, and inflation this is the most probable outcome.
Major resistance towards the bottom-200MA, 3400$ and 3600$ zones.
MACD also implies downtrend continuation, and RSI is still not oversold...
Good luck Traders.