Update about my previous warning about a crash of the SPX500

20 Mar

📉 SPX500 Major Correction: Scenario 1 or 2?

In my previous analysis, I explained a scenario that could mimic the 2022 crash (Scenario 1):
🔗

However, the price action dropped much faster than in 2022, accelerating the correction.

Now, on the daily timeframe, we already have a bullish MACD crossover, signaling a potential bullish trend for several days:
🔗

Could This Invalidate the Bearish Trend?
✅ Yes, absolutely.
In June 2023 (Scenario 2), a similar situation occurred:

A bearish MACD reset was interrupted mid-course by a violent dump
This triggered a strong rebound, breaking through resistance levels
There are now strong signs that Scenario 2 might play out again.

What Does This Mean for Crypto & TradFi?
📈 If this bullish reversal holds, it could sync Crypto & TradFi, with both gaining bullish momentum on the weekly timeframe, peaking around May 2025.

Two Possible Outcomes:
1️⃣ Scenario 1 – The reversal collapses, and the correction continues 📉
2️⃣ Scenario 2 – The reversal holds, leading to a rally 📈

Let’s monitor this closely to see which scenario unfolds.

🔍 DYOR!

#SPX500 #StockMarket #Crypto #Trading #BullishReversal #BearishTrend #MACD #MarketAnalysis #Investing

30 Mar

İşlem aktif

Update: this chart about the SPX500 crash was again accurate, and things are unfolding as forecasted.
We are not at the bottom of this correction (the bottom should be in September, check my other ideas to see why)
In the mean time, we might have some dead cat bounces like the one we got last week.

30 Mar

İşlem kapandı: hedefe ulaştı

I forgot to drop the updated chart, here it is.

5 Nis

Not

We've reached my $5,000 target — and I believe (and hope) this is the bottom.
That said, we may still experience some sideways consolidation until September 2025. I’ll dive deeper into this soon, but for now, it's time to close this idea.

Tariffs are here to stay. They'll get priced in, and the market will recover — it always does.

Another accurate call in the books.
Thanks for following — catch you on TradingView and Twitter for more updates!

6 Nis

Not

Just the latest chart, we are close to the bottom.

7 Nis

Not

Careful with the magic pumps!
US market makers are waking up and triggering FOMO. Don’t forget the fundamentals.

Unless the FED calls an emergency meeting and cuts rates, or we clearly see a bottoming pattern (like an M-formation, recovery, or proper consolidation), entering now is risky.

Why? Because we’re still deep in manipulation territory.
Also, note: the previous GAP has already been filled.

(sorry I deleted this note 3 times, I got the wrong chart link 2x times!)

12 May

Not

Hmm... this forecast was only 50% accurate.
Yes, we saw the massive correction I predicted (even though almost no one believed me two months ago!).

However, I originally expected the correction to last until September 2025, and that part hasn't played out—yet.

I'm staying cautious for now. The chart pattern is not invalidated, and in my view, a full recovery is unlikely before September 2025.

Until we get a clear invalidation, I remain cautiously bullish—but ready for either scenario.