US 30Y yield

US Treasure Bonds Yields - Long Term

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Alright so I've come up with a formula between different US Bond Yields resulting in an oscillator indicator - which successfully signals tops on the stock markets and the bear market after.

Based on the area where that oscillator crosses the 0 value (down), we start topping until it comes back up. This period last in average around 1 year and is aligningt +/- with the actual top of SPX.
This is a period in which stocks may consolidate or still go up - overall an area of indecission, ending bullish power etc.

The actual drop always comes after that period and last up to 800 days- depending on the strength of the previous bull trend - The longer and stronger, the bigger the fall.
All such corrections were hitting lower than 0.618 fib level - meaning we will hit 2200 or even 1600 (SPX).

Key takeaways:
- We're not in an actual Bear Market yet.
- We are in consolidation meaning a pump for ath retests is possible until March 2023 +/-
- After March 2023 we should start real falls until around March 2025
- SPX Bear Market Target 1600-2200


Sorry and you're welcome!

Feragatname

Bilgiler ve yayınlar, TradingView tarafından sağlanan veya onaylanan finansal, yatırım, işlem veya diğer türden tavsiye veya tavsiyeler anlamına gelmez ve teşkil etmez. Kullanım Şartları'nda daha fazlasını okuyun.