10-Year Treasury Yield: Final Move Before Collapse?

The 10-year US Treasury Yield, once the benchmark of global confidence, is now exhibiting signs of a macro top. Since its 2020 low of 0.333%, it surged to 5.00% in October 2023, marking the end of the 40-year bond bull market. It now trades around 4.20%—a key Fibonacci confluence zone and the March 2025 breakout retest area.
A breakdown below 3.95%–3.82% could trigger a cascade to:
3.30%
3.16%
2.85% and 2.63%
This would imply disinflation, economic contraction, or systemic bond market stress.
The consequence? Institutional investors are diversifying out of bonds—once considered the safest asset class—and looking for alternative long-duration stores of value.
Gold has always been the traditional hedge. But now, with Bitcoin's price stabilizing and institutional credibility growing, it's being seriously considered as a digital parallel to gold.