ABD 10 Yıllık Devlet Tahvili GetiriGüncellendi Prediction of next financial downturn
According to FedWatch Tool cmegroup.com/trading/interest-rates/countdown-to-fomc.html there will be 2 or even 3 interest rate CUTS in late 2020.
It means the difference between US10-US02Y spread will move up - arrow on the plot. We can already see that values jumped to 1.63 and that will continue!
The vertical dashed lines indicate the official beginning of recessions from fred.stlouisfed.org/series/T10Y2Y
While the horizontal line (red/green) indicate 250 days moving average; Every time US10Y-US02Y crossed the 250d average the recession occurred but was not announced until a few months later!
It means interest cuts will follow during Presidential elections in the US and recession will not be announced until 2021!!!
It means the difference between US10-US02Y spread will move up - arrow on the plot. We can already see that values jumped to 1.63 and that will continue!
The vertical dashed lines indicate the official beginning of recessions from fred.stlouisfed.org/series/T10Y2Y
While the horizontal line (red/green) indicate 250 days moving average; Every time US10Y-US02Y crossed the 250d average the recession occurred but was not announced until a few months later!
It means interest cuts will follow during Presidential elections in the US and recession will not be announced until 2021!!!
Not
Probability of US Recession Predicted by Treasury Spread, Official NY FED websitenewyorkfed.org/medialibrary/media/research/capital_markets/Prob_Rec.pdf
The Most Scary and Important Chart You NEED to See Right Now:
youtu.be/Bs1_8r4oS_E
Not
Bond market anticipating future Fed rate cutsyoutube.com/watch?v=7gYwGq47hDs
Not
The Entire Treasury Yield Curve Is 'Inverted'zerohedge.com/markets/entire-treasury-yield-curve-inverted
Not
Here we go again: Bank of America calls for 50 basis point cut at Fed's March meetingyoutube.com/watch?v=Ud1ZaiFiCWU
Not
Two weeks before Official FOMC meeting, Fed cuts rates by half a percentage point to combat Coronavirus slowdown - that escalated very quickly!cnbc.com/2020/03/03/fed-cuts-rates-by-half-a-percentage-point-to-combat-coronavirus-slowdown.html
Not
Market Massacre: Oil Crashes 30%, Dow Down 1,000, VIX Explodes As Spoos Craterzerohedge.com/markets/market-massacre-oil-crashes-30-dow-down-1000-points-vix-explodes-es-craters
Not
Stocks Suffer Worst Week Since Lehman Despite Biggest Fed Bailout Everzerohedge.com/markets/stocks-suffer-worst-week-lehman-despite-biggest-fed-bailout-ever
Not
Very nice video, please watch: Will the Coronavirus TRIGGER a Global Recession?youtube.com/watch?v=uc38v9yh-pk
These Updating Charts Show How Many People Are Losing Their Jobs Amid The Coronavirus Pandemic
buzzfeednews.com/article/lamvo/coronavirus-update-charts-unemployment-claims-laid-off-jobs
Not
The US will have negative interest rates in 2020/21, FED just needs another wave of nCov19 as an excuse!Not
Bloomberg urges users to get set for negative US ratesft.com/content/4542185a-0017-4f2f-b490-d4e76360a470
The stock market didn't plunge due to gigantic stimulus i.e. money-printing!
Please check out this very nice visualisation of $10+ Trillion 2020 Economic Stimulus in Cash
youtube.com/watch?v=YPHEM4gEqvg
İşlem aktif
If you agree with my analysis and would like to receive more signals or want me to post more charts, please get in touch or donate:Bitcoin wallet: 361JK8fe6dLoqZ3Ztg8Uwg2n2m6jyVHigS
Litecoin wallet: MG2eK4HTSMT4xNpeAGRzHccXGfDS3b2Tk8
Ripple wallet: rw2ciyaNshpHe7bCHo4bRWq6pqqynnWKQg
Thanks
Simon_says
Not
'Recovery' Hopes Fade As US Wholesale Inventories Unexpectedly Plunge In Junezerohedge.com/markets/recovery-hopes-fade-us-wholesale-inventories-unexpectedly-plunge-june
Not
Gold And Crypto: Is This How Charts Look Before A Monetary Collapse?zerohedge.com/markets/gold-and-crypto-how-charts-look-monetary-collapse
Not
Not
The most predictable global financial crisisaei.org/op-eds/the-most-predictable-global-financial-crisis/
İşlem aktif
JPM: "Bond Yields Are Likely To Move Higher From Here" But The Real Question Is "What's Behind The Move"zerohedge.com/markets/jpm-bond-yields-are-likely-move-higher-here-real-question-whats-behind-move
You've got to Pump it up,
Don't you know Pump it up!!
Danzel - Pump It Up
youtube.com/watch?v=0HtyF0jux2Q
Not
We are already in a crisis that nobody wants to announce:fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FEDFUNDS
Obviously healthcare crisis related to nCov19 is more important :-/
Not
Plenty of various indicatorsen.macromicro.me/collections/9/us-market-relative/91/interest-rate-sp500
Not
"Treasury Secretary Yellen says rates may have to rise somewhat to keep economy from overheating" - that will be the last nail to the coffin and will inevitably cause the yield curve to move higher and flip the market.cnbc.com/2021/05/04/treasury-secretary-yellen-says-rates-may-have-to-rise-somewhat-to-keep-economy-from-overheating.html
Not
Not
Not
youtube.com/watch?v=t3ygJbJjocI&ab_channel=CNBCTelevision #CNBCTV"Inflation could be 20% in the next three years: Wharton's Jeremy Siegel"
Not
Not
A Major BEARISH Signal Not Seen for 14 Years (Market and Crypto Analysis)youtube.com/watch?v=x5CmpLGafno&ab_channel=AlessioRastani
Not
Alarm bells over a possible recession from raising interest rates too quickly youtube.com/watch?v=DB_KriDIdOA
Not
Not
Feragatname
Bilgiler ve yayınlar, TradingView tarafından sağlanan veya onaylanan finansal, yatırım, işlem veya diğer türden tavsiye veya tavsiyeler anlamına gelmez ve teşkil etmez. Kullanım Şartları'nda daha fazlasını okuyun.