Another $ULTA earnings, another drop in the stock.

14 Mar 2019

ULTA is priced to perfection for its earnings announcement. Its stock has rebounded from the low $200s to the low $300s.
Time series fibonacci analysis says we are likely to see an inflection point in the stock this week. This coincides with ULTA's earnings.

Let's see what happens to this stock tomorrow. I believe almost any positive upside surprise is already priced in, and the path of least resistance from these elevated price levels is down.

Zooming out to the monthly time frame, we also see the formation of a double top, deteriorating technicals (RSI, MACD, money flow).

I'll be watching the retail sales numbers that will be released soon closely for any indications as to which way this may go.

14 Mar 2019

İşlem aktif

After seeing the reaction in DG today and the retail sales numbers, I'm even more convinced by an upcoming negative earnings reaction after the bell today. I've added to my short position.

14 Mar 2019

İşlem kapandı: durdurma seviyesi

Close out this one, positive reaction on earnings.