Brent Ham Petrol KFS'leri
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UKOIL. In a range

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Many of you noticed that Brent has mostly been trading in 45-55 range since May 2016. As a consequence, there is no valid trend for now and, in order to know where oil prices may end up in a week or in a month, we have to operate with Fibonacci extensions and Harmonic patterns.

I believe the current setup is as following:

First of all, we have a huge ABCD pattern (Blue colour) which completed at 58.35 and now heading to a first TP.

At a value of 50.60, a bullish Bat pattern (Black colour) would complete and bring a retracement to 53.50 or 55.30

If a 38.2% retracement is completed, we will have another ABCD pattern, which 161.8% Fibo extension will go very close to 23.6% of the original ABCD pattern to complete a formation of a bullish Gartley pattern.

How will I act:

It is now a little bit late to join shorts. I will wait until the Bat pattern is completed and price confirms a shorts-term reversal. Then will enter a long position, targeting 55.30. Once there, I will short, targeting 45.50. It may not be exactly like this but the reference levels for acting are 55.30, 53.50, 51.90 and 50.50
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I´ve a strong-strong desire to short...
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Just wonder if this range trading is above the base or below the S1... We will know soon!

ekran görüntüsü
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Nothing decided yet. One more month of flat has run...
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And it finally happened
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ekran görüntüsü

The 200 SMA at Brent chart may matter. I believe the waterfall may stop here and we may see a sort of a correction which should transform into a bigger drop.

Also, a harmonic ABCD pattern will be completed just at the level where 200 SMA is currently placed. Obviously, market sees that level and all longs concentrated there may be a perfect fuel for further dump. But... I will try a long at 50.60 targeting 55 and with a SL placed at 49.80
İşlem aktif
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It hasn´t arrived to the target, so I jumped in at 51.05, now at breakeven. Eventually, this is a beginning of a nice bounce up
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And here came the reversal day. Jumped in at 50.39 and now at breakeven. Eventual targets are 53.30 and 55.20
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Getting close to TP2. Ready to short
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ekran görüntüsü

Brent and a 3D pattern

Feragatname

Bilgiler ve yayınlar, TradingView tarafından sağlanan veya onaylanan finansal, yatırım, işlem veya diğer türden tavsiye veya tavsiyeler anlamına gelmez ve teşkil etmez. Kullanım Şartları'nda daha fazlasını okuyun.