FTSE 100 Year in Review: Key Levels and Sector Standouts

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As 2024 draws to a close, let’s take a deep dive into the performance of the UK’s flagship index. We’ll explore the standout sectors, technical dynamics, and the key moments that defined 2024 for the FTSE 100.

The Big Picture: FTSE 100’s Weekly Technical Story

Looking at the weekly candle chart, the FTSE 100’s broader post-pandemic uptrend remains intact, barring any last-minute surprises before year-end. The index breached trend highs earlier in the year, only to spend the last six months consolidating. What’s notable is how broken resistance levels have transformed into firm support, a broadly bullish sign.

FTSE 100 Weekly Candle Chart

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results

Zooming In: The Daily Drama of 2024

If the weekly chart gives us the framework, the daily chart paints the details. From January to May, the FTSE 100 surged almost exponentially, driven by optimism over earnings growth and a stable macro environment. However, this momentum hit a ceiling at the 8,400 level, which proved to be a stubborn resistance point. Meanwhile, the 8,000 level established itself as a key support zone, with multiple successful retests throughout the year.

The second half of 2024 has been defined by mean reversion, with the index recently touching its 200-day moving average. This signals a return to equilibrium after the exuberance of the first half. The FTSE now sits in a relatively narrow range, and traders will be eyeing breakouts above 8,400 or breakdowns below 8,000 to determine the next major move.

FTSE 100 Daily Candle Chart

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results

Sector Winners and Losers: A Tale of Two Markets

2024 has been a year of stark contrasts across sectors. Financials emerged as the standout performer, delivering double-digit gains, supported by rising interest rates and robust earnings growth. Consumer Staples and Industrials also posted strong returns, benefiting from defensive positioning and steady demand.

On the flip side, Real Estate struggled, reflecting challenges from rising borrowing costs and weaker demand. Energy and Materials grappled with falling commodity prices and a strong dollar, while Utilities faced pressure from regulatory changes and inflationary costs.

These divergences underscore the importance of sector rotation in navigating the FTSE 100. For traders, keeping an eye on lagging sectors like Real Estate and Energy might uncover opportunities in 2025, especially if macro conditions shift in their favour.

UK Market Sector Snapshot (YTD)

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results

The Broader Context: 2024’s Defining Global Stories

The FTSE 100’s performance didn’t happen in a vacuum. Labour’s win in the UK general election brought renewed focus on infrastructure spending and regulation, boosting sectors like Industrials while weighing on Utilities. Across the Atlantic, Donald Trump’s return to the White House introduced fresh uncertainties for global trade and diplomacy, while the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war and Middle East tensions kept geopolitical risks elevated.

These global events shaped investor sentiment, creating both tailwinds and headwinds for the FTSE’s sectors. They also highlighted the index’s role as a barometer for global economic health, with its diverse composition reflecting the interplay of local and international forces.

Looking Ahead: What to Watch in 2025

As we turn to 2025, the FTSE 100 faces a pivotal moment. The consolidation around 8,000-8,400 offers a well-defined range for traders to monitor. A breakout above 8,400 could signal a renewed uptrend, while a breakdown below 8,000 might suggest a deeper retracement.

Sector-wise, Financials and Consumer Staples may continue to lead, but lagging sectors like Real Estate and Energy could present contrarian opportunities if macro conditions shift. Keep an eye on the evolving regulatory landscape, geopolitical developments, and earnings trends—all of which will play crucial roles in shaping the market’s trajectory.

Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents.

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