Potential future trend for TSLA stock

Based on fundamental analysis of the EV business and Tesla's potential share of EV market , I came up with a value of 105/share if all goes well for tesla for the long hall (yes that is a big if). Based on purely, technical analysis, I think Tesla is heading to 150/share for the short term. I am assuming that we will see a BAT formation before the Earning announcement and bounce in the share price at that point (PRZ=150). so for the short term, I have a short position on the stock, I expect a bounce off after BAT formation.