TRUWORTHS INT LTD
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Risky Clothing Retailers

313
After President Ramaphosa announced on Thursday (23 April) that South Africa will be changing its lockdown status from level 5 to level 4, it was the clothing retailers that was hit the hardest. Main reason for this was because the initial draft for Level 4 lockdown did not permit the sale of any clothing yet. This saw most of the clothing retailers having a horrible day on Friday, with Truworths (TRU) being no exception (down 1.8% on the day). Subsequently, the Government however released a statement on Saturday (25 April), saying that the sale of Winter Clothing and Bedding, will now be allowed under Level 4. Although The Fochini Group (TFG) was hit the hardest (-7.1% on Friday), I believe from fundamental basis, TRU currently look a bit better. Read our full report on the company, which we released on Friday, here: http://oldoak.co.za/wp/index.php/2020/04/24/get-to-know-your-jse-companies-truworths-international-limited-jse-tru/

From a technical point of view, TRU is trading back at the levels it traded at post 2008 crash. It is also trading below all four its 8-, 21-, 50- and 200 week Moving Averages (EMA), which very much places TRU still in an extremely negative trend environment. The share price momentum is also still very much in the red.

I do however feel that the share price is now oversold and places the company firmly in value territory. Oversold are confirmed by both the 14-week RSI, which currently trade in EMTREME OVERSOLD territory and the FTSE/JSE All Share 1-year, relative indicator.

Based on valuations, I went long with my first nibble. At R21, I would buy my second and last tranche. Should we see a recovery this week, with a break and close above the 8-week EMA (R32.65), could see the share price test the bottom of the parallel channel at R34.50 next. A break and close above these levels could be incredibly positive, with next resistance point then being the 21-week EMA (at R39.80). My medium-term target on the company corresponds with our equity reports target of R45/share.


Feragatname

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