Today we want to share with you our observations and thoughts on how the total capitalization of the crypto market can grow in the future.
You have probably already noticed that in all markets the history of market participants' behavior and, accordingly, asset prices is cyclical. The cryptocurrency market is no exception.
Here is a global chart of the total capitalization of cryptocurrencies in different periods of the market. Despite the fact that in different periods there were different factors of growth or decline of the cryptocurrency market, such as the ICO alt-season 2017 and the bear market 2018 or the DeFi boom of 2020-2021 and the current exhausting market's decline. There is a clear cyclicality (of course, a statistical error of 1-2 weeks over such a long period of time is acceptable)
So, 1 candle or bar on the chart is 1 trading week and that's what we have:
from the high of 2017 to the low of 2018 - +/- 49 weeks have passed
from the high of 2021 to the low of 2022 - +/- 52 weeks have passed (of course, if an absolute annual minimum was recorded last week)
from 2017 high to "BTC halving 2020" 123 weeks have passed
from the high of 2021 to "BTC halving 2024" may take +/- 125 weeks (the approximate date is April 2024, but the date may move, depending on the capacity that will be connected to mine BTC blocks. Halving will take place on block 840000)
after "BTC halving 2016", the crypto market maintained a rapid growth trend for 77 weeks
after "BTC halving 2020", the crypto market maintained a rapid growth trend for 78 weeks
after "BTC halving 2024", we project a rapid growth trend of 79 weeks. Accordingly, the future growth trend in the cryptocurrency market may reach its maximum around the middle of autumn 2025.
We also designed 2 fractals of a possible path of growth of the total capitalization of the crypto market. The white fractal indicates growth with a maximum value of +/- $13 trillion. The blue fractal indicates growth with a maximum value of +/- $26 trillion. In order to understand whether it is a lot or not, we will give you some examples of the current capitalization of certain markets:
SP500 +/- $33 trillion
Gold +/- $11 trillion
Silver +/- $1 trillion
Cryptocurrencies +/- $800 billion
Earlier, we made an idea where we made similar calculations on the BTCUSDT chart So, if you are interested in what mark the Bitcoin price can reach at the end of 2025, we invite you to view it:
If you are interested in the current situation on the BTCUSDT chart and the prospects of price movement for the next week, we invite you to read this idea:
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İşlem aktif
The white fractal has been working quite well for a year now. Time for correction?
Not
The blue fractal, which has been working well throughout 2023, has been slightly adjusted. In the next quarter, the total capitalization of the crypto market may be corrected to $1.33 trillion and $1.23 trillion. And then the beginning of a real bull cycle of growth.
İşlem aktif
It's just a perfect fractal working out for 2 years.
Just look at the prospects for the crypto market ahead!
Not
🐂 Yesterday, the crypto market capitalization crossed the $3 trillion mark, updating the 2021 high.
But in 2021, this was the culmination of growth, and now, in our opinion, this is just the beginning.
This idea is 2 years old, during which time the capitalization has grown only 4 times from $750 billion to $3 trillion, and this is largely due to BTC and several large and “heavy” altcoins.
The good news is that the fractal has been working quite well for two years, so there is hope that it will work for at least another year)
📊 The next stage of growth in the total capitalization of the crypto market should be due to the “pumping” of altcoins.
💱 For this purpose, we expect the dominance to shift from 💰 BTC to altcoins.
By the way, what do you think, which altcoin “industry” will set the first trend of the alt-season: memcons, AI, gaming, etc. What's your option?
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