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Credit - TLT Long 2023

Idea for TLT:
- According to consumer expectations, US is already in a recession. Dow hit ATH through this, so a headfake is due.
- We have been patient, but Treasury auction today is a good turning point.
- Long Jan 20, 2023 145C for 8.60 debit

GLHF
- DPT
Not
This may well be the last auction before cutbacks, and signal a top in supply. Advantageous to grab them now while nobody wants them. Simple supply and demand!
Not
US10Y has topped at 1.666: anlık görüntü
Not
Short interest up 63% in 2 months, bond bears doubling down in their belief in the unreal (inflation), widow maker short squeeze here.
Not
B-but muh i-inflation!

anlık görüntü

anlık görüntü
Not
There is no doubt that those who are invested in the unreal (inflation) will be viciously squeezed:
anlık görüntü
Not
Commercials are the most long UST in 3 years, while large speculators are equally short. Bonds are about to have an ungodly short squeeze. Goodbye inflation narrative.
Not
Seems I am getting quite good at catching bottom ticks!
anlık görüntü
İşlem elle kapatılmış
Closed for 10.70 debit (+24.4% gain), Will look to re-enter but I am afraid of the risk parity event which is drawing near

Feragatname