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TLT Roadmap Dec 2023

1565
Yields are likely in early stages of significant multi-month retrace lower into summer 2024
Not
Good start
Not
Early stage
Not
More pulling back ahead
Not
Should start turning up
Not
Very good price action following the expected path
Not
I made a mistake with the instrument here, instead of TLT should have used IEF as 10 yr yields will fall faster than 30 yr yields
Not
It is highly likely that this upswing starting Oct 2023 extends into Oct 2025. Obviously no straight line but some correction starting Aug into Oct 2024
Not
Entertaining to say the least
Not
Market participants are fully imposing the Trump trade across asset markets. This most likely will form a triangle (currently D wave forming to the downside) before new highs in yields/lows in bonds
Not
Bonds setting initial low on that decline likely this week
Not
JP was a bit hesitant yesterday which is incrementally hawkish (as was Logan). I was very confident that this will happen once DJT wins. More cuts will further destabilize yields
Not
Probably quick rally this week
Not
Market was already sniffing the appointment of Scott Bessent as Treasury Sec as an outspoken deficit hawk
Neon
Trend Analysis

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Feragatname

Bilgiler ve yayınlar, TradingView tarafından sağlanan veya onaylanan finansal, yatırım, işlem veya diğer türden tavsiye veya tavsiyeler anlamına gelmez ve teşkil etmez. Kullanım Şartları'nda daha fazlasını okuyun.
Trend Analysis
Neon

İlgili yayınlar

Feragatname

Bilgiler ve yayınlar, TradingView tarafından sağlanan veya onaylanan finansal, yatırım, işlem veya diğer türden tavsiye veya tavsiyeler anlamına gelmez ve teşkil etmez. Kullanım Şartları'nda daha fazlasını okuyun.