It's been about a month or so since I first began to publish bearish ideas and it was a rough few weeks after being wrong about that, but that's how it goes. Picking the top is difficult. I was very confident in my thesis overall, but we're dealing with multi-year patterns and it was dumb to make a shorter term bet based on them.
These things can overshoot and go on far longer than anyone thinks. We got the pullback I was looking for finally and It's possible this recent pullback could turn into something a lot worse. I think where we open on Monday is critical and we should have some direction once we see where things open if it is not flat.
A lot of my bearish ideas are beginning to work out, but really we're just now back to the area where I got burned shorting the last time. It's make or break for bulls here IMO. 5500 on SPX, 20k on NQ, and a VX breakout. Sitting at some major support levels while VX is making new highs, a recipe for disaster for those who end up on the wrong side.
Bilgiler ve yayınlar, TradingView tarafından sağlanan veya onaylanan finansal, yatırım, işlem veya diğer türden tavsiye veya tavsiyeler anlamına gelmez ve teşkil etmez. Kullanım Şartları'nda daha fazlasını okuyun.