SPY trouble

23 Şub 2022

Hello Guys, this is a quick update on SP500. Last time I left you calling the double top and evening star pattern while many were expecting higher prices and possibly new highs. As you can see the double top has worked perfectly passing its target of 430. What can we see now? SPY has formed a perfect Head n Shoulder top. This is extremely bearish...if validated. As you can see many properties of this HnS are textbook (50 MA supporting the move, LH, LL). However, the volume is a bit atypical. We can see the volume has increased considerably at the beginning of the RS in an attempt by bulls to hold SPY on support. nevertheless, the rally was short-lived with volume decreasing and increasing on sell-off. I expect now a small bounce from here retesting the diagonal resistance (Head to Rshoulder) and a possible retest f the 50MA. If this attempt fails to break the resistance then I'll be expecting the HnS to workout perfectly.
The target would be 377 ish, or 3770 if you are tracking the SPX.
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