The FED leaves the rate unchanged and the Facebook earnings and many other earnings were good so the overall trend is very bullish, but there is a growing drag lower due to falling Oil prices and for example the China stock index had declined.below 3000 points. The Apple island top could also fizzle very fast and drag the DOW Industrial lower.
Unless the market breaks out higher before this week ends I stay bearish, because I'm usually emotionally too early with my trading ideas and not too late and my last bearish idea has still not played out, but is now showing early signs of being true. I had oil as risk factor already anticipated in my last chart, but forgot to mention it (see related ideas).
Scenario A "fast brief dip":
Short entry: 2180
Short target:2125
Scenario B: "bearish deep decline"
Short entry: 2160
Short target:2087
Unless the market breaks out higher before this week ends I stay bearish, because I'm usually emotionally too early with my trading ideas and not too late and my last bearish idea has still not played out, but is now showing early signs of being true. I had oil as risk factor already anticipated in my last chart, but forgot to mention it (see related ideas).
Scenario A "fast brief dip":
Short entry: 2180
Short target:2125
Scenario B: "bearish deep decline"
Short entry: 2160
Short target:2087
Not
UPDATE: 3 days later after publishing the chart.While analyzing the largest company stocks (by market cap) in the US (and the world) using the new Tradingview screener function I noticed that many big company stocks have already fallen (in some cases a lot) lower. So maybe the downtrend potential of the S&P 500 index is already over while not being visible in the sideways range on the S&P 500 index itself. If true the S&P 500 rally might go even higher in August when the following stocks bounce back up higher (or even make new highs). In other words I'm much less bearish than I was 3 days ago when I created the chart before the last day of the month (July) had closed.
Here are the stocks to watch in August, if they find a bottom soon or continue the recent decline:
Exxon (US), peaked July 15:
Berkshire (US), peaked July 19
Amazon (US), peaked July 12
Johnson & Johnson (US), peaked July 20
GE (US), peaked July 20
AT&T (US), peaked July 5
Wells Fargo (US), peaked July 14
JP Morgan (US), peaked July 14
Wall Mart (US), peaked July 11
Verizon (US), peaked July 5
Procter & Gamble (US), peaked July 14
Pfizer (US), peaked July 15
Shell (non-US), peaked July 14
Novartis (non-US), peaked July 22
Alibaba (non-US), peaked July 21
Budweiser (non-US), peaked July 1
Chevron (US), peaked July 14
Petro China (non-US), peaked July 14
Coca-Cola (US), peaked July 14
Visa (US), peaked July 25
Oracle (US), peaked July 15
Intel (US), peaked July 20
Merck (US), peaked July 13
Disney (US), peaked July 13
Cisco (US), peaked July 26
Taiwan Semiconductor (non-US), peaked July 27
Unilever (non-US), peaked July 1
UnitedHealth Group (US), peaked July 20
Altria (US), peaked July 05
Citigroup (US), peaked July 15
Brystal Meyers (US), peaked July 15
Schlumberger (US), peaked July 22
Gilead (US), peaked July 25
3M (US), peaked July 20
McDonalds (US), peaked July 22
Kraft Heinz (US), peaked July 8
CVS (US), peaked July 14
İlgili yayınlar
Feragatname
Bilgiler ve yayınlar, TradingView tarafından sağlanan veya onaylanan finansal, yatırım, işlem veya diğer türden tavsiye veya tavsiyeler anlamına gelmez ve teşkil etmez. Kullanım Şartları'nda daha fazlasını okuyun.
İlgili yayınlar
Feragatname
Bilgiler ve yayınlar, TradingView tarafından sağlanan veya onaylanan finansal, yatırım, işlem veya diğer türden tavsiye veya tavsiyeler anlamına gelmez ve teşkil etmez. Kullanım Şartları'nda daha fazlasını okuyun.