SPX Has a very clear 1-2 1-2 nest set down How far WC or W3?
Güncellendi
Either Corrective, and we must not pass the Red line. Or Impulsive and we pass the Red line for much greater pullback/correction ! Red line is the key here, only time and wave strucutre will tell us how far we go down. Watch your long position at least for the short time just in case this is go down below Red line
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Daily view...Not
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Some breadth indicators are suggesting this !!!Not
Look up for further details ! If and if i am right !Not
We have 5 waves down completed !Not
Moving average 5 Days, not whole allot of buying the "Dips" here !!!Not
CNN Fear & Greed index:As low as 10.22.2022
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If you are bearish & only if you are ! Macro count for ABC or WXY !Not
f you are bearish & only if you are ! Macro count for ABCDE Triangle then up !Not
Goofing around and counting, 5 minutes chart, all the simple impulsive 5 waves !Not
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2 Rejections here on 1H chart:1/ October's of 2022 low (Green line) !
2/ Down Blue channel !
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4199 Is the # to watch !Not
# 1 : ESi futures, suggesting an ending diagonal here ! We could/might have our trough in already. Not
Zoon in for a probable final W5Not
#2 : ESi futures, this last move up does not look like an impulsive move . Could be a leading diagonal of some sort !? If so we have not seen a big drop as usual after it.Not
Back to our regular session SPX :1/Expanding leading Diagonal ! ( if you are bullish)
2/ WXY Corrective then down. (Bearish)
3/WXYZ Corrective then down. (Bearish)
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Updating our break down. Could/might be a "Bear's trap" either way we are back inside our Blue channel +Above October's low Green line. !
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Everything we did here and on X implies a "Trough" is in place. Me not understanding this last move as of yesterday is the only thing standing in my way to confirm such a thing. Other than that everything suggest a bottom has been reached ! Or i could be wrong and south we go, never now.!Not
Probable L.Diagonal of some sort if you believe a trough is in already!? = We will revisit the W1 region today/tomorrow !Not
Daily, just chilling on both major trend lines ! Not
Before up, after here down !Not
If you are bullish then this could be something like this !Not
If you are bearish then we have one more leg down ! Wish WXYZ in place as a corrective counter trend move !Not
If we are going up for W3 then we have completed ABC for W2 as such.Not
If you believe we still got one more leg down then it should not pass Red box !Not
Not good !Not
Final leg for bears if they want to push this further south !Not
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PC is implying a trough has been placed in already !Not
If i may add, or with in 1-5 Days !Not
Time wise :1/ Our last bullish move can not be related to this prior last move down 37 bars vs 32 bars.
2/ Might/could be related to a bigger count from last leg down.
3/ Or this is the beginning of bullish move !
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IF you still believe we have more leg down then this last 32 bars are more probably related to "Chart"32 bars VS 37 bars time wise: NO
81 bars VS 32 bars time wise: Probable
- if you are bullish then this last 32 bars are the "Beginning " of a new bullish move.
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5 Waves for the bears !Not
Pullback is needed ! Red box !Not
A textbook ABC Corrective counter trend move has finished ( If you are bullish).We gave 2 scenarios for an ABC or 5 waves down impulsive down. After such corrective move look for a probable new ATH !
- If you believe that we are crashing and the is the beginning, then this is parably still wave 3 for you and we would go down. You will need a catalyst for that and more trading days to form a bigger corrective move to support your bearish scenario in the coming days/weeks. !
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IF you believe that we have bottomed already, this was an ABC counter trend corrective move, then 5th wave is incoming by the end of 2023 as such. !Not
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For the bearish case out there, look up for further details ! 9th +10th up dates have 2 bearish scenarios which should be followed closely !
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ESI has invalidated Impulsive up !Not
ABC has completed, 3 waves down !!! We could have Impulsive down in Blue NOT good for bulls !!!Not
Back to our regular session. We have mentioned Red box ( Look Above) for wave 4 of an impulsive up, well ESi has invalidated that if we do the same here Red line not good for bulls as well. We shall see by the end of today's trading session !Not
what if this is an ABC (Since ESi invalidated impulsive up):A= Diagonal
B= Flat
C= Impulsive
* We must break below Red line 4268.50 + have a motive wave structure (We need more time to develop such structure)
* We have 2ed +3ed options as WXY & WXYZ, then this would be our 4th ABC which i have not mentioned due to the complexity of the previous waves!
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if this is the case we wont go that far, tgt is Red box ! And i do not like it because on smaller time frames we have nailed our 5th wave down ! Unless this is an impulsive going down and we will go much further down ( Look above for a triangle + WXY Macro counts)Not
For Example buddy. Look at AAPL'S today count ! How can yo count this (Which is going to, with high probability, determine the next move for SPX ) !Not
Entering W4, Red box ( check prior ideas).!Not
Few points from invalidation of our impulsive up, stay close to your trades here guys.!Not
More impulsive here than corrective, we shall see by end of day. ! Stay nimble guys.!Not
Ending diagoanl for wave 5. Or not and i am simply wrong on this big time as we might have a trough in place already .!Not
Invalidation here .!Not
Favoring an impulsive move up !Not
How on GOD'S Earth, can someone count this as corrective ABC (Red circle) !!!Not
Not even one minutes chart could be counted as an ABC corrective !!!Not
If you count is as a WXY double Ziggy, then the rule of alternation is not happening here since wave 2 was flat !!!Flat for Wave 2 !!!
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Looking for a top today.!Not
Estimated time of arrival of wave 5 is between 10:50 & 11:45. !Then wave 2 down 4200ish .!
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Arriving to our tgt a bit early ;-)Not
Next is 1.62 W5 to W1. !Not
Re-adjusting W2 retracements due to the fact that we kind off overextended our 5th wave here.Not
Waves 3 & 5 are kind off equal in % gain.!Not
We should see sharp move down for wave C or 3 of ANot
If this is W2, then we should pass 1.15% .! Bigger count should be bigger in pullbacks than smaller count.!Not
The least thing bears should do is having a bigger pullback :-) this is very shallow for W2. During our w2 +w4 pullbacks we went south a bit deeper. !Not
What if we still have another higher high and we just finished wave 3, pulling back in wave 4 right now then final wave 5 to complete five impulsive up. !Not
ETA, is 2:45 PM where Time equality 5=1 @ 4397 where % equality 5=1.!Not
ES1 this morning is just 70 points from the Golden Ratio.!Not
ES, Achieved .76 extension.!Not
ES'S Move this morning.!Not
Looks like a flat here.!Not
This move in circle is just one straight line !!!! The look is Flat but no way to count 5 waves down.!!!!Not
We have not, if this is 5 impulsive up, reached 61% retracements for wave 2 then 3 up.!Not
Probable .!Not
If you are bullish, this is your path.!Some Elliottions are suggesting we are in a "Bearish" market and this is just a counter trend move then we go down.! We shall see.!
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Only Flat if we have an Ending Diagonal.!Not
More complex waves here.!Not
1-2-3-4-5 Waves Vs ABC.!Not
If you are bullish this is your "Touch down" for wave 4 of 5.!Not
5th of 5th is up next , if yo are bullish here.!Not
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For the bullish case we are probably somewhere in here, w1 of of w3 of W5.!Not
Challenging to say the least.!Not
Truncation + Deep pullback.!?Not
Using daily & disregarding our mini counts 5m,15ms.... And being Bullish this is your target.! So many bearish counts out there ABCs.!Not
It seems that we have a 5 waves impulsive up with one big wave 4 (Deep retracements >61%)Not
ES1, Still under October 12th's high ??!!Not
So what is next for SPX ? Scenarios:
#1: We have completed 5 waves up going for W2 down.!
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#2: We have completed 5 waves up October 10th, wave 2 was a Flat and we have finished wave 1 of wave 3 up.!Not
#3: ES1 is still in a corrective move !!! Could be a flash warning for a potential break down .!?
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