Price Action & Key Levels Price is consolidating inside a descending channel, typically a bullish pattern if broken to the upside.
Key breakout level $195–$196 aligned with Fib 0.382 and trendline resistance. Critical support: $186 lower channel boundary.
First bullish confirmation A close above $198 (1H 50 EMA + Fib 0.5).
Target levels First target: $202–$203 (Fib 0.618). Second target: $210+ (previous high). Stop-loss placement : Below $186 to avoid fakeouts.
RSI Analysis If RSI is currently below 50, it suggests weak momentum, meaning price could still consolidate before a breakout. If RSI crosses above 55–60, it confirms bullish momentum supporting a breakout.
A hidden bullish divergence (higher low in RSI while price makes a lower low) would strengthen the case for upside movement.
Volume Analysis Breakout needs strong volume confirmation. If price moves above $195 with low volume, it could be a fakeout.
If volume spikes on a breakout, it signals institutional participation, increasing the likelihood of a sustained move.
Decreasing volume inside the channel is a good sign this indicates sellers are getting exhausted before an upward breakout.
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