The Short Story of a 15% Decline

We find ourselves in a challenging situation. Over the past two years, the stock has been in a sustained upward trend. However, over the past month, we have been testing the current support level extensively, which raises concerns about the stock's resilience at this point. The formation of a double top is particularly noteworthy, as this pattern often signals a potential reversal.

This stock has historically exhibited highly consistent and conservative behavior, closely adhering to technical patterns. As such, I do not anticipate any unexpected deviations. Based on the current analysis, I foresee a 15% probability of a decline within the next month.