I like trying NZDJPY lower here.
Technicals provide a good entry/stop level with a nice resistance level that we have bounced off a number of times this year.
Narrative wise i think we should be lower, commodities have moved a touch lower and yields seem to have peaked. We also have the RBNZ meeting tonight which i think is what is holding NZD strength up currently. I think i would lean to the dovish side for the meeting as the RBNZ was one of the first central banks to hike and have hiked the most so i am expecting them to turn dovish soon.
Inflation expectations have been a good indicator of direction in the pair and it is currently suggesting lower to me.
Sentiment and positioning have been extreme recently and i think this is still the case roughly.
Not trading/investment advise, feedback welcome!