Description: As shown above we have NZDCAD. Currently this pair is ranging between 0.89500 – 0.87500, Going back to 4th March Price was still bearish but rallied up to 0.91100 which was a 0.786 retracement of the previous swing high. Followed by two larger sized Doji's and failure of closing, close to or above Monthly Resistance (0.91100) indicating bears had the overall power, resulting in a trend continuation.
On the Daily we have a Spinning Top, This seems to be a result of price ranging but failing to close beyond Weekly Resistance. I am wary price could follow through to retest Weekly Resistance on a break of the Black TL.However i expect price will not close above the 20 EMA or Weekly Resistance, For these reason i will look to short the pair.
Using these indicator/s: [200 EMA,20 EMA,10 EMA] We can see the 200 crossing above price, The 10 acting as a pivot point and the 20 overall smoothing out the price action and holding price down magnetically. Also shown on the RSI price is currently in bearish territory, showing the overall momentum is likely to be bearish.
Duration: Short Term
Decision: I will short this pair because all factors coincide with the current trend. We have 0.89200 holding firmly as resistance Creating a good Demonstration of a Bearish setup. If price breaks black TL I will post an update.
Thank you for viewing my idea. If you decide to take this trade,please leave a comment and a thumbs up. I will be happy to stay in touch to see how the setup is planning out. Your also welcome to post you analysis below.
Remember to always trade your stratergy... Happy Trading
Useful Information:
TREND: Bearish
INDICATORS Moving average [ 10,20,200 ] Relative Strength Index
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