Good morning, friends! 🌞 Here are the directions and levels for August 14th.
Market Overview
Global markets have been maintaining a range-bound movement, while our local market shows a moderately bearish sentiment. Today, the market may open with a neutral to slightly gap-up start because the SGX Nifty indicates a positive 30-point move as of 8:00 AM.
Yesterday's Movement:
In the previous session, Nifty Nifty experienced drastic drops. However, if you take a broader view of the charts, these movements occurred within a range-bound market. Why does this matter? Because if the market rejects any of the support levels, a solid bounce might occur.
So, what about today?
I’m highlighting two possible scenarios:
1st Scenario:
>Even if the market opens with a gap-up, structurally it may not sustain. If this happens, we can expect the correction to continue towards the levels of 24,079 to the 78% Fibonacci level, to the demand zone when it breaks the previous day’s low.
>After that correction, if the market finds support around the major support levels, we might see a 23% to 38% bounce back. However, this bounce is not guaranteed; if it doesn’t occur, the correction may continue with minor consolidations.
2nd Scenario:
If the gap-up sustains structurally, we can expect an initial bounce back of 23% to 38%. Usually, sharp movements bounce back within this range. If the price gets rejected at this level, the major trend will likely continue. However, if it breaks the 38% Fibonacci level solidly, the current movement may shift to a range-bound market. But the probability of this is less likely.
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