4th Dec ’23 - 418pts breakout on election results - Nifty50
Nifty Analysis
Recap from yesterday: “I would like to see this as a breakout with a new higher high in the cards. For this to happen, BankNifty has to reclaim its ATH”
5mts chart link - click here
For those long on Friday, it would have been a dream come true. 347pts gap-up open followed by a steady and healthy rally. We ended up gaining 418pts ~ 2.07% today. When was the last time you saw a 2% move upwards?
It was not purely a technical move (breakout) that led to these gains, it was news flow-related. BJP won 3 state elections i.e. Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh & Chattisgarh giving a strong signal that the Lok Sabha elections for 2024 are almost in their pocket.
The rally had nothing to do with BJP per se, markets always love stability. So irrespective of the party, whichever faction is at the centre - if they keep winning the elections, markets will go euphoric. The purchase volumes from the institutions is a clear proof.
1hr chart link - click here
Nifty has made an island today and is in uncharted territory. If the momentum persists, we can see unusual outperformances. If there is negative news or weakening global macros - we can see a fall too. Since we have broken out from an ATH, the chances of momentum continuation are higher. I would continue to hold on to my long stance. The first reversal point is at 20300 levels which is quite deep even for a stop-loss trigger.
Recap from yesterday: “I would like to see this as a breakout with a new higher high in the cards. For this to happen, BankNifty has to reclaim its ATH”
5mts chart link - click here
For those long on Friday, it would have been a dream come true. 347pts gap-up open followed by a steady and healthy rally. We ended up gaining 418pts ~ 2.07% today. When was the last time you saw a 2% move upwards?
It was not purely a technical move (breakout) that led to these gains, it was news flow-related. BJP won 3 state elections i.e. Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh & Chattisgarh giving a strong signal that the Lok Sabha elections for 2024 are almost in their pocket.
The rally had nothing to do with BJP per se, markets always love stability. So irrespective of the party, whichever faction is at the centre - if they keep winning the elections, markets will go euphoric. The purchase volumes from the institutions is a clear proof.
1hr chart link - click here
Nifty has made an island today and is in uncharted territory. If the momentum persists, we can see unusual outperformances. If there is negative news or weakening global macros - we can see a fall too. Since we have broken out from an ATH, the chances of momentum continuation are higher. I would continue to hold on to my long stance. The first reversal point is at 20300 levels which is quite deep even for a stop-loss trigger.
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