12th Dec ’23 We have a change in stance today! Nifty PostMortem
Nifty Analysis
Recap from yesterday: “For tomorrow also I prefer to maintain the bullish stance. If we are unable to build momentum and Nifty is falling to the 20900 levels then I may have to change the stance to neutral by the end of the day.”
4mts chart link - click here
Even though we had a gap up opening, the same did not sustain and the round of selling started by 10.07. The selling momentum did not pick up until 12.19 post which we fell almost 150pts. Although the final closing was at 20906, it ticked my checklist for the stance change. My view for tomorrow is neutral. Even BankNifty has a stance change today (will discuss that shortly).
A wolf dressed as sheep today was NiftyIT. INFY had a negative start as its ADR was down 3% after the news of CFO leaving. To compensate for that TCS was trading with super gains. This kept the NiftyIT index above water till 14.31.
Nifty IT 4mts chart link - click here
Then at 14.35 we had a good red candle that tipped the scale and guided Nifty50 to accelerate the fall. Why I said the wolf among the sheep is because NiftyIT retraced those points and ended the day flat. There was a 167pts ~ 0.5% recovery between 14.51 to 15.07. All eyes are on tomorrow if NiftyIT will go green or not. NiftyIT has played a good role in the recent rally of Nifty50.
63mts chart link - click here
Nifty can fall a lot more and still be in the uptrend. That is because we are well above the ascending channel. But from a real price action perspective, I have changed my ultra short-term stance to neutral now. To gain back the bullish momentum, Nifty has to close above 21037. To go bearish, Nifty has to fall below 20691.
Recap from yesterday: “For tomorrow also I prefer to maintain the bullish stance. If we are unable to build momentum and Nifty is falling to the 20900 levels then I may have to change the stance to neutral by the end of the day.”
4mts chart link - click here
Even though we had a gap up opening, the same did not sustain and the round of selling started by 10.07. The selling momentum did not pick up until 12.19 post which we fell almost 150pts. Although the final closing was at 20906, it ticked my checklist for the stance change. My view for tomorrow is neutral. Even BankNifty has a stance change today (will discuss that shortly).
A wolf dressed as sheep today was NiftyIT. INFY had a negative start as its ADR was down 3% after the news of CFO leaving. To compensate for that TCS was trading with super gains. This kept the NiftyIT index above water till 14.31.
Nifty IT 4mts chart link - click here
Then at 14.35 we had a good red candle that tipped the scale and guided Nifty50 to accelerate the fall. Why I said the wolf among the sheep is because NiftyIT retraced those points and ended the day flat. There was a 167pts ~ 0.5% recovery between 14.51 to 15.07. All eyes are on tomorrow if NiftyIT will go green or not. NiftyIT has played a good role in the recent rally of Nifty50.
63mts chart link - click here
Nifty can fall a lot more and still be in the uptrend. That is because we are well above the ascending channel. But from a real price action perspective, I have changed my ultra short-term stance to neutral now. To gain back the bullish momentum, Nifty has to close above 21037. To go bearish, Nifty has to fall below 20691.
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