Do not bet the farm and the kids on this trade...just the kids Ha/ha all kidding aside.
Follow your own rules and your own advice not mine. Personally, for NG, I build VERY small positions over time (cost average), NG can go down so be prepared to take and hold a loss which can grow sizable, manage your trade. Whatever happens it will be a wild ride. S0 no gambling, No Margin, just simple small VERY small risk manage positions OR do nothing.