South African banks are bearing the brunt of the economic impact of COVID-19 and lockdown.
Fundamentals:
Prior & ongoing recession
Weak ZAR
Low interest rates (limited profitability)
Decreased business activity
Pervasive credit losses & impairments
Technicals:
Breakout from bearish pennant
Decreasing RSI (not oversold yet)
Share price below 6SMA & 20SMA
6SMA crossed 20SMA to the downside
A retest of the March lows is possible.
Target 1: 78.00 Target 2: 67.30 Stop Loss: 113.51
Our banks are robust and well-positioned to weather the current economic storm. Their price-to-book ratios are currently incredibly low and make for an attractive long-term play. The short-term outlook, however, is bleak.
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