flirting with the 200 MA

The NATGAZ is going up and flirting now with the 200 Moving average if the MA break and the 2.70 level we could continue this bounce and target 2.88 but if we fail to break the 2.70 level the probability to get to 2.59 is high so my strategy is to wait for the morning open and see how the market react to the 200 MA and short if we have a bearish pattern