Alış

Güncellendi

NAS100...History Does Repeat Itself

Now that I am sure the market is back in trend with all the timeframes closing at HH's, it is now time to focus on the HL's to the HH's.

No more sells for me, instead, I am waiting for the Hl's and taking them to the HH's.

Right now I expect to see some retracement which will provide the perfect opportunity to take the buys.

How far down it will go remains to be seen, however since I am not taking the sells, all I have to do is to wait for the HL (Largest Low) in order to be able to take the trade.

#aubersystem
#auberstrategy

İşlem aktif

The first fight of the week between the bears and the bulls saw most of the action centered around the close mark of 17354.6 made on Friday Jan, 19.

The market as I mentioned before has been making HL's/HH's on the larger timeframes and so it is just a matter of being patient for it to come back in trend.

(I AM NOT SELLING THE RETRACEMENT) instead, I am waiting for price to create my entry point of a HL before entering.

Today the market closed at a H1 HL and as such to complete the trend move, I expect it to continue to climb to break the historic high to continue for another HH.

This trend is expected to continue for a few days before another retracement comes into play.

As usual it's about patience and not trying to chase the price.

#auberstrategy
#aubersystem

İşlem aktif

As I have been saying from the start of the week.

This market is trending (HL's to HH's) and so the easiest trades are to trade your HL's to your HH's...NOT TO SELL THE RETRACEMENT (At least that is my strategy...)

With that said here is a look at some of the moves since market open on Sunday up until this current move happening now...

Monday = 3:30 am entry (Buy)
Monday = 7:30 am exit (500 pip move)

Tuesday #1 = 3:30 am entry (Buy)
Tuesday = 3:30 am exit (800 pip move)

Tuesday #2 = 9:30 entry
Tuesday #2 = Still in trade (up over 1600 pips

Totals pips so Far from 3 entries = 2900 pips

If i took the highest point for a sell on Monday and got out at 9:30 today...my total pip haul would have been only (1600 pips)

If I stayed in the sell from Monday until now...I would be back down over 100 pips.

The point of all of this is that if you took any one of the HL's and stayed, even after the retracements, you would have now been in constant profit and free to close at your leisure.

This is why I do not go against the current trend...(Hl's HH's)

When the market gets back to it's HH position then and only then is it safe to take long term sells.

I will update my Bias once the move is over...as of now I will continue to trade the structure of HL's to HH's

#patience
#aubersystem
#auberstrategy

İşlem aktif

For Day Traders...

I am now entering in the critical area of the Day and the week for the major moves of the week.

As I mentioned previously...the market likes to take Monday and Tuesday to find it's range and to set up for the major moves of the week.

With the price currently sitting at an all time high, and providing knowledge that this market is trending, then perfect opportunities await for both buying and selling.

In order to capitalize on this, a perfect executionary strategy must be utilized;

1. Sells only from your highest
point.
(a) Exits at your highest low
point (HL on biggest
timeframe & LOW on your
matching timeframe)

2. Buys only from your "highest
low point
(a) Exits at your Highest High
point) (HH)

Remember analysis is always done from the top down (Biggest to lowest) and not from the bottom up (Stop analyzing on your lower timeframes...only use them for entry)

Always be patient and wait for the trend moves...stop trying to chase the market around...Just wait for the correct trend move...it always works in your favor.

One more thing that has helped me over the years...

Every single day, the market creates a buy opportunity and a sell opportunity:

1. Buy from the low of the day

2. Sell from the high of the day

The key is to decided which one is the trend move and also to decide:

(a) Is my buy the trend move?
(hold through HL's to HH's)

(b) Is my sell the retracement
move? (wait for the HL's
before taking a new buy)

Once you can answer these questions correctly, then the execution becomes seamless and you will focus on quality trades instead of quantity trades.

Happy Trading today:

#aubersystem
#auberstrategy
#patience
#whywewait

no setup = no trade

İşlem aktif

This is just a visual of the #auberstrategy trading system and why my bias has been bullish so far for 2024...hope this helps to put things in perspective a little better:

1. The lowest point of 2024 so
far was made on January 5
5:00am. Absolutely no
retracements (13,000+ pips)

2. The highest low point of 2024
was made on January 17
@9:00 am. Absolutely no
retracements (An additional
9,000+ pips)

3. First historical high broken on
January 18

4. Second historical high broken
on January 23

As you will see, with the market clearly making HL's to HH's, it only makes sense to buy from my HL points and If I am taking a sell, it originates from my HH points with an exit planned for my HL's.

You cannot blindly think that this market is just going to freefall without finding support and buying from the support areas.

Analyze properly and take your entries correctly and you can take both buys and sells with precise execution.

#auberstrategy
#aubersystem
#patience
#whywewait

İşlem aktif

This is one of the worse possible places that I could be looking to open a buy position for a number of reasons:

1. All time frames above the H2
are sitting at HH's and so the
market would need a
retracement to start buying
again.

2. Price broke and closed below
the previous historical break
line on the lower timeframes
before market close.
yesterday.

3. Every single timeframe from
the monthly down to the H1 is
sitting at some sort of
overbought high signaling
exhaustion on the buy side

4. We are still in Asian session
and so a fair amount of
consolidation is expected
before we get into London
session for the market to
create daily LOWS.

I say all of this to say:

If you are looking to buy...wait for the right low setup.

If you are in a sell...continue to monitor the retracement for the right exit back to the trend move

Lastly:

Trade what you see
no setup = no trade
#aubersystem
#auberstrategy
#patience
#whywewait

İşlem aktif

Any buy trades entered now should have an exit point of a H4/H5 LH before the next sell will be ready for execution.

Retracement period is in effect.

The current trend is a retracement sell trend to create the next HL on the upper timeframes.

#auberstrategy
#aubersystem

İşlem aktif

Continuing with the trend of HL's and HH's, we see that the market has found another support at 17359.2 (Depending on the chart you are using).

What this means is that the trend continues as the larger timeframes are still maintaining their HL's.

The biggest timeframe to have this level respected was the H7 at 3:00am this morning and as it is coming from an overbought high, with all timeframes below coming from their respective lows, this should carry through to the next historical high or at least a LH depending on the volume and movement today and over the coming week.

My target for this buy is for a break for another historical High or at least a H7 LH and an expiration of the trading session before any sells are on the table again for me.

As always:
Do your own analysis
Trade what you see
Exercise patience

#auberstrategy
#aubersystem
#whywewait

İşlem aktif

Just a visual from the H1's perspective.

London session close will give me a better determination for a continuation or retracement for the end of the week.

#auberstrategy
#aubersystem
#patience
#whywewait

İşlem aktif

This week, I will continue to trade the trend of the market while taking smaller retracement trades as they pop up.

The Buy trade that I took is still active as I continue to await the type of high to be recorded on the H7 which is my largest timeframe that recorded a LOW in the current move coming from the historical highs recorded on the bigger timeframes.

NAS100 continues to be a bullish market...it has always been and there is currently no indication on the bigger timeframes that that is about to stop anytime soon.

I will continue to trade what the market gives and right now it continues to make HL's to HH's which means, I will continue to take buy my HL's and exit on my HH's and once the Historical highs are completed, I take my sells to my next HL.

As always:

Trade what you see
Exercise patience
No setup = No trade
#auberstrategy
#aubersystem
#whywewait
#patience

Not

Visit my Tradingview profile to access this week's video analysis.

#auberstrategy
#aubersystem

İşlem aktif

Further Justification for current bullish stance:

1. The last thing the market did
on Friday was to complete a
H1 HL.

2. Before that the last high it
created was a LH on the H1.

Here is the justification:

If the market moves in a Zig Zag formation from left to right, you will notice that after every type of LOW, there is a type of HIGH formed.

so therefore Friday @ 12:00pm the H1 created a LH, however it got blocked at 4:00pm by the HL that was formed at the close of the session...thus ending the session and all candles closing before the new week starting today.

So if Zig = LH formed at 12:00 noon and Zag = The HL formed at 4:00pm on Friday;

Then Zig would have to be some type of High before you get another Zag...(Don't mind me...just my crazy theories)

There is no Zig without a Zag and likewise no Zag without a Zig....

We can all be right if we exercise the right amount of patience and just wait for our moves.

Every single time, the market makes some type of high, it has to make some type of low...

The market just has one job every single day...

It makes a high and makes a low or

it makes a low and makes a high.

Trends are key...take a step back and look at your bigger timeframes...are they overall bullish or bearish? Once you determine that, allow your smaller timeframes to create your entry points.

I cannot stress enough, focusing on the smaller timeframes first will always have you living in the retracement instead of capitalizing on the trend moves.

Have a great week.

#auberstrategy
#aubersystem
#patience

İşlem aktif

Now that the first H4 candle of the week has been completed and the initial liquidity sweep has now been completed, we can now turn our attention on establishing the upper trading ranges for NAS100.

As mentioned in my weekly analysis video, in order for the price to sell, the active highs will need to be completed and on Friday the biggest timeframe requiring one was the H7.

The market opened with price breaking below the last HL created on Friday and then quickly breaking and closing above that same level, indicating a rejection in the bid to continue with a sell.

In so doing, it managed to register a HL on the H11...note also that price has come back to the level that it closed on Friday and momentarily pushed above.
What this now means is that in order for the sell to be meaningful, the H11 will need to create it's type of High with over 6 hours to spare.

The lower timeframes have been making HL/HH's (since the LL was formed at market open).

The key in all of this is that the bigger timeframes are still trading HL/HH's and as long as they maintain that structure, the buys will be valid until the H11 completes its HIGH.

Going back to my "krazy theory" Once you have a Zig you must have a Zag, seems to be playing out well so far as the market works it's way to create either a LH or a HH on the bigger timeframes.

As usual:

Do your own analysis
Trade what you see
No setup = No trade

#auberstrategy
#aubersystem
#whywewait
#patience

İşlem aktif

Remember that today is only Monday and NAS100 likes to take a few days to establish it's weekly ranges.

You should have notice by now that the price...completed the H2 LL by signaling a LL and by slightly pushing below Friday's close before continuing towards the upside.

A quick check on the M5 timeframe will confirm that price broke back above Friday's LOW and has registered HL's HH's above Friday's LOW.

Always remember that today is Monday and movements can be a bit muted and especially as most traders are anticipating the FOMC rate announcement later this week.

Today we should start seeing more positive strides towards the upside around 11:30 am EST...

I will be paying close attention for the type of high that is signaled by the H11 timeframe which is set to expire at 3:00pm today and that will hold the key as to a further continuation to the upside or another retracement to create another HL on a bigger timeframe.

In any event the strategy remains the same...HL's to HH's and taking sells from my HH's to my HL's.

As usual this requires practice, patience and the absence of emotional trading.

#auberstrategy
#aubersystem
#whywewait

İşlem aktif

Nothing much to report here other than that the trade is going according to the weekly analysis.

One thing I did notice however and I would like to share is that the H6 timeframe is mirroring last week's move where the 11:00 am candle closed bullish and the 5:00pm candle opened and just shot right up.

While this is not my only bias for the buy, one can't help but notice similarities in the move and judging by what we saw last week, this move should continue to be bullish throughout the night and deep in to the London session tomorrow.

As usual my bias remains towards the Bulls until the highs are completed on the bigger timeframes.

Trading HL's to HH's is a winning combination in a market that has been bullish from it's inception.

As it stands right now, I am still looking to see what type of High the H11 makes...

A LH will signal a rejection and a new round of retracement sells while a HH would be another historic high and I would have to wait for the candles to expire before committing to the sell.

As always:

Trade what you see
no setup = no trade

#auberstrategy
#aubersystem
#patience

Not

I took some time to compare the sell moves vs the buy moves since Wednesday Nov 29, 2023 4:00am vs the buy moves from the same period and to total the maximum amount of pips that the trades would yield a person using just a 0.01 lot size.

I did this hopefully to help someone understand that trying the trade against a trend in a market that has been bullish from inception is not only more difficult and confusing, however it is less profitable.

People seem to have this obsession with going against the trend for fear that they are going to miss the move of a lifetime.

So if you took only the sell moves since November 29 using 0.01 and without scaling up, your total profit would be $2,264.40.

Now compare that with the trend moves for buying including the current move that is still not done your total would be $3,683.60...this of course is under the assumption that you are not scaling your account.

Please note for purposes of this illustration the H11 timeframe was used...for less volatility and noise.

There are way more advantages to trading with the trend, such as:

1. You do not have to monitor your trades as much once you enter on the low

2. Even if you make a mistake with the entry and it retraces, it always comes
back to pass your entry and end in profit. (if it doesn't it was not the trend)

3. Additional entries are seamlessly added by trading on your profits instead of
your equity

These are just a few of the advantages

So guys, I want us all to learn and earn and succeed but we have to get rid of the FOMO mentality and create a mindset that is based on strong trading psychology.

Spend time to analyze, learn, try theories and journal your wins and losses.

Stop trying to outshine each other by getting the most "up votes" likes and comments and focus on learning the craft and sharing valuable information.

Spend less time trying to be right and to prove other's wrong and instead focus on perfecting your strategy...if you do not have one, develop it based on practice and proven methods.

Remember, no one has to agree with you, the only thing that matters is the money you make from a properly analyzed trade that hits TP.

So sorry for the epistle, however I hope this will help someone to realize their errors sooner than later and take corrective steps to improve.

#auberstrategy
#aubersystem
#patience

İşlem aktif

It is always a good idea to cover your profits and take partials while you await the continuation of the market.

One key point though is that, if you exit a trade before it ends, you must be patient to wait for the right setup for re-entry.

So in making the decision to exit from an active trade, please ensure that you know how you will re-enter safely for the completion of the move.

Just remember this concept:
Price cannot sell from a low
Price cannot buy from a high...
This is true of every single timeframe.

So for those looking for re-entry points, you must wait for your type of lows to get back in...or you wait for all your timeframes to complete your highs to be able to sell.

Other than that, we see some consolidation taking place on the bigger timeframes.

Stay patient...
trust your analysis

#auberstrategy
#aubersystem

İşlem aktif

Remember in my weekly analysis video, I mentioned that Mondays, Tuesdays and sometimes Wednesdays are the days that the market uses to find it's range?

Here is an example of what consolidation moves looks like:

Market makes a number of LH to HL moves without clearly established HH or LL points to confirm structure.

In these times patience is even more needed as you still have to wait for price to make the low you need for a buy or the high you need for a sell on your bigger timeframes.

The trend move is still valid, however you can also consider taking partials while you wait for your next setup.

No setup = No trade

#auberstrategy
#aubersystem
#whywewait
#patience

İşlem aktif

Congratulations to all those sellers who were patient to ride out the retracement sell today.

Now we turn our attention to buying to the Highs/HH's

The market opened by creating a HL on the H23 with the first push of Asian session.

That places all timeframes below the daily in position for the buy.

There is no rush as this is the trend buy as you will notice that the bigger timeframes are still maintaining their structure of HL's to HH's.

I hope you guys see how easy it is for buyers and sellers to live in harmony...just trade at the right time.

Sellers...in a few hours your move would have wrapped up and it will be time to see what type of highs are being formed.

Remember the sells are only retracements and they are not the major move...so don't get carried away especially with the initial push at market open.

Trade wisely
No setup = No trade
#patience
#whywewait
#aubersystem
#auberstrategy

İşlem aktif

As we prepare for mid-week trading today let us consider a few factors that will affect the market for the remainder of the trading week.

1. Today is the FOMC rate announcement and so volatility will be at an all time high

2. Friday will also be NFT and so there will be significant movement when that
information is made available.

How do these factors affect my trading?

They don't...

I simply trade the structure that the market provides and continue to trade my lows to highs and highs to lows.

Always remember, volatility happens within market structure...as long as you do not enter the market during consolidation, you will be ok and so it is of utmost importance that I wait for the right setups before entering a trade.

What am I looking for today?

Well for starters;

Yesterday ended/started with new HLs/Lows/LL's on all timeframes below the Daily. This confirms that the market is still trending on the bigger timeframes for the HL/HH's.

This will now provide an opportunity for me to take buys towards the HH's for a new historic high or LH's towards another rejection on the Daily timeframe.

Remember price buys from Lows and sells from Highs.

Sellers you had a great run and if you plan on selling again, i suggest you wait for the highs to be completed.

As always:

Manage your risk
Do your own analysis
Trade what you see
No setup = No Trade

#auberstrategy
#aubersystem
#whywewait

İşlem aktif

This is just a crazy visual of the #auberstrategy Zig Zag theory...

Where there is a zig, there is a Zag

Where there is a Zag there is a Zig.

This is just my observation...so please do your own analysis.

But I always maintain that price buys from a low and sells from a High.

Please note that price is currently completing a "W" formation and at the end of a "W" comes a sell...the key is to be patient.

No setup = No trade

#auberstrategy
#aubersystem
#patience
#whywewait
#zigzagtheory

İşlem aktif

With yesterday's push to the downside, the "Zig" point only formed a H1 HL, which was still enough to close the trade in decent profit. (Where there is a Zig, there is a corresponding Zag)

The market then pushed to form another "Zag" point which ended the day without signaling a Daily HL, however it completed the HL formed on the H23 and started it's trek back up to complete another trend move.

The buys for me are still valid as I am trading the trend moves and doing minor trades on the retracement moves once all my conditions are met.

A number of things to consider:

1. The monthly candle closed yesterday at 5:00pm EST

2. All other timeframes closed their candles at 5:00pm EST

The only timeframe that had an exception to the close was the weekly which still has 1+ day left to close, however it is coming from it's HH also.

What does all of this mean?

1. Well, if price has to sell from a high and the H23 finished it's candle in a low
position (HL), then that would mean, there has to be a buy back to a high
position... (H23 LH or HH)

2. The daily candle finished yesterday without signaling anything and so it will be
pushed back to it's original high position before selling again (A reset of sorts
to try selling again)

3. In order for me to be interested in a sustained sell, I need all my timeframes
to be in place as there was not structure break as yet on my higher
timeframes.

This all boils down to a game of patience...to wait for the right set up.

So today, I am again buying and will see what highs are created to determine if I get another rejection or continuation.

Please remember:

Do not rush your entries
Analyze carefully
Do your own research
Do not follow someone else's plan unless you fully learn and understand it.
Be patient
No setup = No trade

#auberstrategy
#aubersystem
#whywewait

İşlem aktif

As mentioned earlier, the bearish move was completed at 4:00pm yesterday and had started the buying process.

After the consolidation at 12:00pm today, the move started to take strides towards the HH's.

Right now we just wait for the Highs to be completed before looking for any type of sells.

The market continues to make HL's to HH's toward the biggest timeframe.

As usual...

Do you own analysis
#patience

#auberstrategy
#aubersystem

İşlem aktif

In an effort to help those who would like to learn the benefits of trading with the trend, I have done a little analysis of why a trend trade is always profitable as opposed to a trade going against the Trend.

1. Lets say two traders are trading the markets, one buying and one selling

2. Trader Bear takes a sell at 17314.9 based on a M15 High

3. Trader Bull also takes a buy at 17314.9 based on a M15 LL

4. Both traders are right as they are entering at either at either a High for a Sell
or a Low for a buy.

5. The market is consolidating and so you have a series of Highs and Lows around
the same line and so it is not the ideal place for an entry

6. The only trader that can have peace of mind is the one going with the trend
and that is trader Bull

7. Trader bear goes up to $2,000 profit and is happy and thinks the sell will
continue

8. Trader bull goes down to -$2,000 loss and is concerned that he made the
wrong choice

9. When the retracement is over and the trend takes over, not only does trader
bear loose the $2,000 profit without a stop loss, but the trader would miss out
on the major move.

10. Trader Bull now recovers the $2,000 retracement and is now $2,300 in profit
and can add additional entries with each HL retracement.

The point of this is that although it took a while, the trend is always your friend and will always rescue you

Never bet against the trend...

#patience
#auberstrategy
#aubersystem

İşlem aktif

Still continuing to trade the trend:

My crazy Zig Zag Theory simplified...

Every Zig needs a Zag
Every Zag needs a Zig

Buy Low
Sell High

#zigzagtheory
#aubersystem
#auberstrategy

Not

Just a thought...

Trading against the trend is like trying to go down the wrong side of an escalator... you may get there, however it takes a lot of work and energy and if you miss a step, you get taken right back to the top.

Trading with the trend...is like going the right way on an escalator...you can just step on (Enter your trade) and ride your way to the top...Even if you miss your step...It will still take you to the end.

#zigzagtheory
#tradesmartly
#auberstrategy
#aubersystem
#whywewait
#patience

İşlem aktif

Since yesterday's bullish run on NAS100, we have seen the market taking a break since Asian session to catch it's breath.

We have seen over 12 hours of "bullish consolidation" with the H1 clearly signaling it's intent for a continuation.

Although it is at a LH...do not discount the fact that it is coming from an OS HL (Which even signaled in wrong level...this shows the level of volatility and heavy consolidation present).

It came back to signal only a LH which confirms the consolidated nature of the market.

This usually happens a lot on high impact news days and so one has to exercise the greatest amount of patience and wait for the market structure to be completed before entering/exiting your trades.

So what is next?

1. No sells for me until my buy is
complete

2. Continue to exercise patience

3. Constantly looking for ways to
improve.

Remember it is not about what you want NAS100 to do, rather it is about you trading what the market reveals to you.

Don't trade what you think (the market does not care about your opinions)

Trade what is presented.

The consolidation period should wrap up today around 1:00 pm.

No setup = No Trade

#auberstrategy
#aubersystem
#patience
#whywewait
#zigzagtheory
#topdownanalysis

İşlem kapandı: hedefe ulaştı

Now that I have achieved my Highs...I have successfully closed and with start to look for sell opportunities....

I will start a new post highlighting my new bias shortly.

Congrats to all who successfully traded this wave.

#auberstrategy
#aubersystem
#patience
#whywewait.

Auberstrategy

Be the exception...not the rule.
t.me/+FsHQuOngCYFiZmYx

Aynı zamanda::

Auberstrategy

Be the exception...not the rule.
t.me/+FsHQuOngCYFiZmYx

Aynı zamanda::

Feragatname

Bilgiler ve yayınlar, TradingView tarafından sağlanan veya onaylanan finansal, yatırım, işlem veya diğer türden tavsiye veya tavsiyeler anlamına gelmez ve teşkil etmez. Kullanım Şartları'nda daha fazlasını okuyun.