Technical Breakdown on US 100 | 1H Timeframe

Technical Breakdown on US100 Cash (NASDAQ CFD) – 1H Timeframe using Volume Profile, Gann, and CVD + ADX

1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused)

a) Volume Profile Insights:

Value Area High (VAH): 19,964.8

Value Area Low (VAL): 19,799.3

Point of Control (POC): 19,936.4 (current session), 19,817.5 (previous session)

High-volume nodes: 19,850 – 19,950 (sustained consolidation and acceptance)

Low-volume gaps: 20,000 – 20,070 (inefficient move up; could act as a magnet on retrace)

b) Liquidity Zones:

Stop clusters likely at:

Above 20,125 (recent high and breakout level)

Below 19,800 (previous rejection and consolidation)

Absorption zones: Near 19,820–19,850, where strong wicks and CVD upticks indicated passive buyers stepping in

c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows:

Swing High: 20,125.8 (sharp rejection, low follow-through volume)

Swing Low: 19,713.4 (high absorption, spike in CVD)

d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis:

Trend Direction: Bullish (CVD rising, price confirming higher highs)

ADX Strength: ADX ~22, DI+ > DI- → Confirmed uptrend

CVD Confirmation:

Rising CVD + rising price = strong demand

Momentum stalling near 20,125, signaling potential short-term pullback

2. Support & Resistance Levels

a) Volume-Based Levels:

Support:

VAL: 19,799.3

POC: 19,936.4

Swing low: 19,713.4

Resistance:

VAH: 19,964.8

Swing high: 20,125.8

b) Gann-Based Levels:

Recent swing low: 19,713.4

Retracement levels (from 20,125.8 high to 19,713.4 low):

1/3: 19,850.9

1/2: 19,919.6

2/3: 19,988.3

3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure

a) Trend: Bullish (ADX > 20 with CVD and price agreement)
b) Notable Patterns:

Bullish channel breakout forming

Retest of 19,936 POC aligning with previous breakout level

Potential continuation pattern (ascending wedge forming within purple projection channel)

4. Trade Setup & Risk Management

a) Bullish Entry (CVD + ADX confirm uptrend):

Entry Zone: 19,925 – 19,940 (POC + Gann midpoint)

Targets:

T1: 20,070 (gap fill)

T2: 20,125 (recent high)

Stop-Loss (SL): Below 19,799 (VAL / swing low)

RR: Minimum 1:2

b) Bearish Entry (If rejection near swing high + falling CVD):

Entry Zone: 20,120 – 20,125

Target:

T1: 19,936 (POC)

Stop-Loss (SL): Above 20,150

RR: Minimum 1:2

c) Position Sizing:

Risk only 1-2% of capital per trade