🔍 MSFT GEX Daily Overview (Options Sentiment Breakdown)
Microsoft (
MSFT) closed at $460.36, right inside a tight zone between heavy call resistance at 462.5–465 and a weakening support floor at 450. The stock has been on a strong run, but we’re now entering a dealer-dense gamma zone — which often creates price suppression or whipsaws.
GEX Sentiment Insights:
* 🟩 Call Walls stacked at 462.5 → 465 → 470, with major gamma hedging expected.
* 🟥 Moderate Put Wall @ 450 (–18.48%), with further protection near 447.5 HVL.
* ❄️ IVR at 7.1 → dirt cheap premiums = great for debit spreads or directional plays.
💡 Options Play (GEX Bias):
* Bullish Scenario: Break above 465, consider Jul 19 470c or 465c/475c spread — targeting 470–475 before next gamma wall.
* Bearish Scenario: If price loses 458, ride short to 450 with Jul 19 455p/445p vertical spread or naked 455p if volume confirms.
Gamma flip zone is tight. Bulls need momentum + volume to break through. Otherwise, dealer hedging could pin MSFT here all week.
📉 MSFT 1-Hour Price Structure (Swing/Intraday Gameplan)
On the hourly, MSFT is in a rising wedge structure, testing overhead supply around 463–468, while forming lower highs and building distribution signals.
Key Observations:
* 🔻 Price failed to hold above BOS zone near 463.
* 📦 Sitting inside CHoCH supply (red box), multiple rejection candles printing.
* ⚠️ Overbought readings across BBP & DPR (98%+), MACD softening — potential for pullback.
📈 Swing Trade Setup:
* Bullish: Only get long if MSFT reclaims and bases above 465. Target: 470–475. Stop: below 460.
* Bearish: Break below 458 = clean swing short toward 450–447.5. Stop: above 461.
📊 Intraday Plan:
* Scalp rejection at 462–463 for short → first target 458, extended 455.
* Long scalp off 455.3–456 demand zone if market supports tech bounce.
Volume and index context (SPY/QQQ) are critical — MSFT follows market rotation, so use confluence.
💭 Final Take
MSFT is now dancing at the top of a major gamma ceiling. Without fresh momentum or market-wide tech strength, this area favors fade setups. GEX data supports cautious upside while rewarding early downside setups with clean risk-reward.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence and manage risk properly before trading.
Microsoft (
MSFT) closed at $460.36, right inside a tight zone between heavy call resistance at 462.5–465 and a weakening support floor at 450. The stock has been on a strong run, but we’re now entering a dealer-dense gamma zone — which often creates price suppression or whipsaws.GEX Sentiment Insights:
* 🟩 Call Walls stacked at 462.5 → 465 → 470, with major gamma hedging expected.
* 🟥 Moderate Put Wall @ 450 (–18.48%), with further protection near 447.5 HVL.
* ❄️ IVR at 7.1 → dirt cheap premiums = great for debit spreads or directional plays.
💡 Options Play (GEX Bias):
* Bullish Scenario: Break above 465, consider Jul 19 470c or 465c/475c spread — targeting 470–475 before next gamma wall.
* Bearish Scenario: If price loses 458, ride short to 450 with Jul 19 455p/445p vertical spread or naked 455p if volume confirms.
Gamma flip zone is tight. Bulls need momentum + volume to break through. Otherwise, dealer hedging could pin MSFT here all week.
📉 MSFT 1-Hour Price Structure (Swing/Intraday Gameplan)
On the hourly, MSFT is in a rising wedge structure, testing overhead supply around 463–468, while forming lower highs and building distribution signals.
Key Observations:
* 🔻 Price failed to hold above BOS zone near 463.
* 📦 Sitting inside CHoCH supply (red box), multiple rejection candles printing.
* ⚠️ Overbought readings across BBP & DPR (98%+), MACD softening — potential for pullback.
📈 Swing Trade Setup:
* Bullish: Only get long if MSFT reclaims and bases above 465. Target: 470–475. Stop: below 460.
* Bearish: Break below 458 = clean swing short toward 450–447.5. Stop: above 461.
📊 Intraday Plan:
* Scalp rejection at 462–463 for short → first target 458, extended 455.
* Long scalp off 455.3–456 demand zone if market supports tech bounce.
Volume and index context (SPY/QQQ) are critical — MSFT follows market rotation, so use confluence.
💭 Final Take
MSFT is now dancing at the top of a major gamma ceiling. Without fresh momentum or market-wide tech strength, this area favors fade setups. GEX data supports cautious upside while rewarding early downside setups with clean risk-reward.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence and manage risk properly before trading.
Feragatname
Bilgiler ve yayınlar, TradingView tarafından sağlanan veya onaylanan finansal, yatırım, işlem veya diğer türden tavsiye veya tavsiyeler anlamına gelmez ve teşkil etmez. Kullanım Şartları'nda daha fazlasını okuyun.
Feragatname
Bilgiler ve yayınlar, TradingView tarafından sağlanan veya onaylanan finansal, yatırım, işlem veya diğer türden tavsiye veya tavsiyeler anlamına gelmez ve teşkil etmez. Kullanım Şartları'nda daha fazlasını okuyun.