Microsoft's Downtrend Poised for Deeper Retracements

MSFT 4D TECHNICAL ANALYSIS 📉

OVERALL TREND
📉 DOWNTREND — Confirmed by the descending pivot structure, cluster of recent lower highs, and bearish rejection from the 430–455 zone. The downtrend is confirmed with a moderately confident score of 23.8%, with a Trend Score of -0.50.

🔴RESISTANCE ZONE

• 🔴 468.3500 — SELL STOPLOSS | PIVOT HIGH
  
• 🔴 455.7494 — SELL ORDER 2
  
• 🔴 430.2472 — SELL ORDER 1
  

🎯ENTRIES & TARGETS

• 🎯 381.6944 — SELL ORDER & | TP 1
  
• 🎯 340.8905 — SELL ORDER & | TP 2 | MID-PIVOT
  
• 🎯 310.8399 — SELL ORDER & TP 3
  
• 🎯 264.4180 — EXIT SELL & TP 4
  

🟢SUPPORT ZONE

• 🟢 253.2621 — BUY ORDER 1
  
• 🟢 226.1769 — BUY ORDER 2
  
• 🟢 213.4130 — BUY STOPLOSS | PIVOT LOW
  

✍️STRUCTURAL NOTES

• Major lower high rejection seen near 455–468 zone—clearly defined by the last bullish failure to break above
  
• Recent candles show moderate bullish defense near 380, but unable to create a higher high
  
• All key short-term MAs (10–50) are bearish, with crossover confirmation stacking downward
  
• Longer-term moving averages (100–200) show mixed signals; short-term selling strength remains dominant
  
• Oscillators show mixed-to-weak bearish signals, with MACD and Awesome Oscillator suggesting negative momentum
  

📉TRADE OUTLOOK

• 📉 Bearish Continuation Bias with potential downside continuation toward TP3 @ 310.84 and TP4 @ 264.41
  
• 📈 Temporary bounce possible at 381.69–340.89 range, but expected to be corrective unless higher highs are confirmed
  
• 🔍 Watch for retest and rejection at 430.24 or 455.74 zones to validate reentry setups on the short side
  

🧪STRATEGY RECOMMENDATION

CONSERVATIVE APPROACH (Trend-Following):
— Entry: 381.69 (on rejection confirmation)
— TP: 340.89 / 310.84 / 264.41
— SL: Above 430.25

AGGRESSIVE REVERSAL PLAY:
— Entry: 253.26 (Buy Order)
— TP: 310.84 / 340.89
— SL: Below 213.41

“Discipline | Consistency | PAY-tience™”