motilal revised tgt to1500 currentl good to accumulate

motilal check my previous idea posted when around 750-800
results by this month end, its hold gr infra which is recently listed ipo with zomato it holds stake in it so
it is said moti sold some stake in gr infra so that will also reflect in results
and every brokarage short up except motilal its previous high long long time ago is 1500 itself
and business has grown from that time very good company fundamentally
and under valued brokerage compared to others where other companies short up significantly
disclaimer- this is not any investment call or idea , this just my view and it can go wrong ,this is only for educational purposes trade at your own risk

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moti lal correction due to down in qoq results one can hold if stock falls 20% from the point of purchase then one can average check on normal chart this chart has hekin ashi in normal chart price gap downed so based on that price need to cover the gap i am expectig it to recover in 3m-6m

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currently at support only took support on super trend ,broke 20 day moving average need to see if tomorrow it reclaims 20 day ma or not, may not fall below 980 worst case it might correct upto 850-900 , need to see closing if today forms doji there is very high chance that it will reclain 20 day ma

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no need to panic every june results of motilal are down due to some expenses i thought gmr infra stake might bring positie results by next quater it will move higher just hold

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just hold if want to average averga between 850-900 or just hold and wait

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actually results are not bad normal only every june quater results are low yoy year its increase but qoq down but thats not an issue

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motilal got eps of
9.04 - jun -21
17.18 - mar -21
--------------------------------
13.05 - dec-20
12.17 -sep 20
6.09 -jun-20
minus -7.38 in mar 20 due to covid
there fore total 2020 eps = 13.39 eps and stock traded between 426 to 905 in 2020

where 2021 26 eps for two quaters only so considering other two quaters average eps of 6 total eps by year end would be 32 eps there for stock is currently trading
at 34 P/e if p/e remains constant 34 multiply with 32 which gives basic value of 1088
where sector p/e itself is at 50
actually what happened is last quaters were good this quater better than normal but why it has fallen is due other broking firms because market was expecting good results for broking firms as exxpected 5paisa , icici sec, angel broking gave excellent results based on that motilol has disappointed due to over expections other than that results are above average and eps is increasing yoy , as qoq on quater is little down they are just spreading rumors of bad results and operators bringing price down are accumulating
in the past in 2017 and 2018 when stock got yearly eps of 6.03 and 27.18 then itself it traded at an high of 1580
so from there lot of business has grown and motilol is not just as broking firm it has wealth managment services , finance etc which makes it a robust growth company
so no need to panic will give excllent returns in 6m -1y just my estimates
trade at your own risk this just for educational purposes
here check year eps yoy
in
2014 - 2.79
2015- 4.36
2016- 3.30
2017- 6.03
2018- 27.18
2019- 22.16
2020 - 13.39(one quater down due to covid where we got -7 eps)
2021 - till these two quaters 26 eps
next two quater estimates can be minimum of 6-10 eps
yoy year eps growth rate at 54%
roe is 20%
So imagine if given sector P/e at full incase and eps be at 24 then price would be
1200 without that very basic of 32 eps per year and 34 pe( current p/e) would give 1088 as fair price

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ICRA upgrades credit rating of Motilal Oswal Financial Services' subsidiary. The credit rating agency has upgraded the credit rating on long term debt instruments of Motilal Oswal Home Finance, a material subsidiary of the company to 'AA-/Stable' from 'A+/Stable

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current trend side ways from down trend can buy now on dips

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800-850 is best price to add on dips

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dip-2 750-800

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stock already corrected so now even market corrects motilal would be a defensive stock we can see today mid cap and small caps are correcting

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motilal added by ppfas fund

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moti lal got highest eps ever recorded got 549 cr vs last quater 221 cr which is 148% up qoq and
year on year 325% up

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