META’s Hidden Fibonacci Path to 4000+ — Don’t Miss Wave 3

🚀 META Long-Term Elliott Wave + Smart Money Macro Outlook


🌊 Elliott Wave Structure (662→955→4000+)

META appears to be progressing through a major impulsive 5-wave supercycle on the weekly timeframe:

Wave 1: The initial breakout from accumulation (2015–2021), fueled by growth in advertising dominance and metaverse expansion narratives.
Wave 2: Deep corrective W–X–Y structure into the 2022 low around $90 — a classic multi-year liquidity sweep and re-accumulation phase.
Wave 3 (in progress): This is typically the strongest and most extended wave, with Fibonacci projections aligning near the 2.618 extension ≈ $4,160, targeting 2028–2029 based on current momentum.
Wave 4: Expected to form a macro re-distribution or range between ~$900–$1,000 before the final parabolic Wave 5, likely extending toward $10K+.

💡 Wave Confluence:

• 1.618 Fib extension of Wave 1 → Wave 3 aligns around $955, acting as the first major resistance (and your current high zone).
  
• 2.618 Fib extension → next macro target $4,160, confirming bullish impulsive momentum.
  

🧠 Smart Money Concepts (SMC)

• The 2022–2023 bottom represents a “Displacement + Re-accumulation” phase, with institutions absorbing liquidity beneath previous demand zones.
  
• Current price action (mid-2025) shows a premium range reaction, where smart money is likely taking partial profits before the next accumulation leg.
  
• Expect a retracement into the 0.382–0.5 Fib zone ($420–$500) to rebalance inefficiencies before continuation toward macro Wave 3 targets.
  
• Key Reaccumulation Zone: $420–$500 — watch for BOS (Break of Structure) confirmation and liquidity sweeps below equal lows.
  

🔍 Fibonacci Alignment

• 0.382 retrace marks ideal Wave 4 re-entry.
  
• 1.618 & 2.618 extensions align perfectly with the Wave 3 and 5 confluences — textbook impulsive expansion.
  
• Each extension zone has been confirmed with prior liquidity sweeps and displacement candles, increasing Fibonacci reliability 📈.
  

📊 Market Structure & Price Action

• META maintains a strong bullish market structure of Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL) since 2023.
  
• The recent 9% correction (-$69) is likely a short-term liquidity grab — not structural weakness.
  
• As long as price holds above $420, macro bullish market structure remains intact.
  
• Volume profile shows heavy accumulation between $300–$450, suggesting smart money is still positioned long-term bullish.
  

💰 Fundamental Confluence

META’s fundamentals are catching up with technicals:

• Massive AI CapEx and ad recovery boosting EPS growth 📊
  
• Metaverse burn rate shrinking, improving profitability
  
• Share buybacks providing a floor for price corrections
  
• Macro environment supports tech leadership rotation, and META remains a key beneficiary of the AI + social data synergy cycle 🔄
  

🔮 Market Cycle View

We’re entering the “Expansion Phase” of the broader innovation cycle.

• 2018–2022 = Accumulation/Disbelief
• 2023–2025 = Early Markup / Smart Money Entry
• 2025–2029 = Public Participation Phase (Wave 3) 💥
  
• Post-2029 = Euphoria / Distribution (Wave 5) 😱
  

⚙️ Key Levels to Watch

• Support Zones: $420 – $500 (Wave 4 re-entry)
  
• Resistance Levels: $955 → $4,160 (Wave 3 targets)
  
• Invalidation: Sustained break below $300 on weekly close
  

📈 Summary

META remains one of the strongest macro bullish charts in big tech — with perfect alignment across Elliott Wave, SMC, Fibonacci, and fundamental cycle theory.

We’re currently witnessing the mid-phase of Wave 3, with institutional repositioning before the next vertical leg. Patience and precision around the reaccumulation zone ($420–$500) could provide the golden setup before the next expansion wave 🚀🌕

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