Is This the Bottom? MELANIAUSDT at a Critical Turning Point

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The Market is at a Crossroads – What Comes Next?

Twelve days ago, MELANIAUSDT.P stood at its absolute high of $14.496, but since then, it has collapsed an astonishing 87.1%, currently trading near its absolute low of $1.865, which was just set today​.

The sell-off has been relentless, but is the market about to reverse? Technical indicators are signaling extreme oversold conditions—RSI(14) at 25.23, deep into the danger zone where price often finds a local bottom​. The MFI(60) also hovers at 30.98, confirming weak buying pressure, but with a potential for reversal.

Despite this, the asset remains below its key moving averages (MA50 at 2.115, MA100 at 2.252), meaning bulls have significant resistance ahead​. Short-term price action is dominated by volume spread analysis (VSA) patterns, showing alternating waves of aggressive buying and selling​.

Is this the moment for buyers to step in, or will we see another leg down before any real recovery? With resistance sitting at $1.988 and $2.086, a breakout above these levels could ignite a rapid short squeeze​.

Time is ticking—will the market hold this level, or is another flush-out incoming? Stay tuned.

MELANIAUSDT Roadmap: Tracing the Market's Footsteps

Tracking the Market Moves: Key Confirmed Patterns

The price action of MELANIAUSDT has been a rollercoaster, with alternating surges of buy and sell volume dictating the flow. Let’s break down the confirmed patterns that shaped the recent market landscape.

Phase 1: The Build-Up – Buy Side Takes Control
* January 27, 08:00 UTC – "Increased Buy Volumes"
Direction: Buy
Open: 2.358 | Close: 2.446 | High: 2.55

Buyers stepped in hard, pushing MELANIAUSDT to $2.55, signaling bullish momentum. This pattern held strong as price action followed through.
* January 29, 19:00 UTC – "VSA Manipulation Buy Pattern 4th"
Direction: Buy
Open: 2.3 | Close: 2.309 | High: 2.349
The price maintained upward movement, proving the prior bullish pattern was valid.

Phase 2: The Reversal – Sellers Take Charge
* January 29, 18:00 UTC – "Increased Sell Volumes"
Direction: Sell
Open: 2.317 | Close: 2.3 | Low: 2.224

Despite an earlier bullish run, sellers regained momentum, pushing prices lower.
* January 31, 15:00 UTC – "VSA Manipulation Sell Pattern 4th"
Direction: Sell
Open: 2.086 | Close: 2.105 | Low: 2.086
The sell-off gained further traction as the price failed to recover above key resistance levels.

Phase 3: The Last Stand – Bullish Bounce Attempts
* February 1, 00:00 UTC – "Increased Buy Volumes"
Direction: Buy
Open: 1.935 | Close: 1.936 | High: 2.021

Price briefly bounced, testing $2.021, but lacked follow-through strength.
* February 1, 01:00 UTC – "Buy Volumes Takeover"
Direction: Sell
Open: 1.936 | Close: 1.921 | Low: 1.916
Buyers lost the battle, confirming further downside pressure.

What’s Next?
The current technicals suggest we are at a make-or-break point. MELANIAUSDT is hugging its absolute low at $1.865, with resistance lurking at $1.988 and $2.086. The market’s next move will likely depend on whether buyers can reclaim lost ground or if sellers continue to apply pressure.

Stay sharp, watch for volume confirmation, and manage risk accordingly!

Tracking the Market Moves: Key Confirmed Patterns

The price action of MELANIAUSDT has been a rollercoaster, with alternating surges of buy and sell volume dictating the flow. Let’s break down the confirmed patterns that shaped the recent market landscape.

Phase 1: The Build-Up – Buy Side Takes Control
* January 27, 08:00 UTC – "Increased Buy Volumes"

Direction: Buy

Open: 2.358 | Close: 2.446 | High: 2.55

Buyers stepped in hard, pushing MELANIAUSDT to $2.55, signaling bullish momentum. This pattern held strong as price action followed through.
* January 29, 19:00 UTC – "VSA Manipulation Buy Pattern 4th"
Direction: Buy
Open: 2.3 | Close: 2.309 | High: 2.349
The price maintained upward movement, proving the prior bullish pattern was valid.

Phase 2: The Reversal – Sellers Take Charge
* January 29, 18:00 UTC – "Increased Sell Volumes"
Direction: Sell
Open: 2.317 | Close: 2.3 | Low: 2.224
Despite an earlier bullish run, sellers regained momentum, pushing prices lower.
* January 31, 15:00 UTC – "VSA Manipulation Sell Pattern 4th"
Direction: Sell
Open: 2.086 | Close: 2.105 | Low: 2.086
The sell-off gained further traction as the price failed to recover above key resistance levels.

Phase 3: The Last Stand – Bullish Bounce Attempts
* February 1, 00:00 UTC – "Increased Buy Volumes"
Direction: Buy
Open: 1.935 | Close: 1.936 | High: 2.021
Price briefly bounced, testing $2.021, but lacked follow-through strength.
* February 1, 01:00 UTC – "Buy Volumes Takeover"
Direction: Sell
Open: 1.936 | Close: 1.921 | Low: 1.916

Buyers lost the battle, confirming further downside pressure.

Technical & Price Action Analysis

Key support and resistance levels define the battlefield for MELANIAUSDT. If these levels fail to hold, expect them to flip into resistance zones, making upside moves harder.

Support Levels:
* 1.863 (Critical last low, any break could mean fresh downside)

Resistance Levels:
* 1.988 (Immediate overhead resistance, must break for bullish momentum)
* 2.086 (Key level, reclaiming it opens more upside room)
* 3.306 (Far target, but if bulls wake up, it’s the next big hurdle)

Stay sharp, watch for volume confirmation, and manage risk accordingly!

The price action of MELANIAUSDT has been a rollercoaster, with alternating surges of buy and sell volume dictating the flow. Let’s break down the confirmed patterns that shaped the recent market landscape.

Phase 1: The Build-Up – Buy Side Takes Control
* January 27, 08:00 UTC – "Increased Buy Volumes"

Direction: Buy

Open: 2.358 | Close: 2.446 | High: 2.55

Buyers stepped in hard, pushing MELANIAUSDT to $2.55, signaling bullish momentum. This pattern held strong as price action followed through.
* January 29, 19:00 UTC – "VSA Manipulation Buy Pattern 4th"

Direction: Buy

Open: 2.3 | Close: 2.309 | High: 2.349

The price maintained upward movement, proving the prior bullish pattern was valid.

Phase 2: The Reversal – Sellers Take Charge
* January 29, 18:00 UTC – "Increased Sell Volumes"

Direction: Sell

Open: 2.317 | Close: 2.3 | Low: 2.224

Despite an earlier bullish run, sellers regained momentum, pushing prices lower.
* January 31, 15:00 UTC – "VSA Manipulation Sell Pattern 4th"

Direction: Sell

Open: 2.086 | Close: 2.105 | Low: 2.086

The sell-off gained further traction as the price failed to recover above key resistance levels.

Phase 3: The Last Stand – Bullish Bounce Attempts
* February 1, 00:00 UTC – "Increased Buy Volumes"

Direction: Buy

Open: 1.935 | Close: 1.936 | High: 2.021

Price briefly bounced, testing $2.021, but lacked follow-through strength.
* February 1, 01:00 UTC – "Buy Volumes Takeover"

Direction: Sell

Open: 1.936 | Close: 1.921 | Low: 1.916

Buyers lost the battle, confirming further downside pressure.

Technical & Price Action Analysis

Key support and resistance levels define the battlefield for MELANIAUSDT. If these levels fail to hold, expect them to flip into resistance zones, making upside moves harder.

Support Levels:
* 1.863 (Critical last low, any break could mean fresh downside)

Resistance Levels:
* 1.988 (Immediate overhead resistance, must break for bullish momentum)
* 2.086 (Key level, reclaiming it opens more upside room)
* 3.306 (Far target, but if bulls wake up, it’s the next big hurdle)

Trading Strategies Based on Rays

The concept of Rays from the Beginning of Movement offers a unique perspective in technical analysis. These rays, built on Fibonacci and geometric principles, help define dynamic levels that guide price movement. Instead of static levels, rays adjust dynamically, ensuring a more adaptive trading approach.

Optimistic Scenario:
* If the price interacts with 1.863 and holds, the first target would be 1.988, the second 2.086, and the third 3.306.
* Moving Averages confirmation above these levels can signal a continued bullish push.

Pessimistic Scenario:
* A breakdown below 1.863 flips it into resistance, opening the path to new lows.
* Bearish confirmation via VSA rays and moving averages crossovers would solidify this outlook.

Potential Trades:
* Long Entry at 1.863: Targeting 1.988 with a stop below 1.850.
* Breakout Trade above 2.086: Aiming for 3.306, stop-loss near 2.000.
* Short at Resistance Rejection (1.988-2.086): Stop above the level, targeting previous support.

Watch for interaction with rays before entering trades—these levels define the battleground where market players decide the next big move!

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