Home Depot could be attempting a breakout as investors await key industry data.
The main patterns on today’s chart are the falling trendline and the 50-day simple moving average (SMA). HD is attempting to push through both.
This is especially interesting because TradeStation data shows fewer than one-third of S&P 500 companies are above their 50-day SMAs. The fact HD remains above it shows the stock has spent more time bottoming than the broader market.
Next, MACD has been made higher lows for months as the stock made new lows. That’s a potential case of bullish divergence.
The 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) is also above the 21-day EMA.
Next, consider how the DIY giant has reacted to quarterly results this year. It tanked in February despite beating estimates. It tried to rally on strong numbers in May, but couldn’t get above the 50-day SMA. Such weakness isn’t a surprise considering market sentiment toward interest rates. But with that worry fading in the past month, will price react differently in the second half?
Traders could find out as early as this week, which features NAHB’s housing market index on Monday and housing starts/building permits on Tuesday. HD’s next quarterly results are due August 16.
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