Altın KFS'leri (US$/OZ)
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Gold is bouncing from support.. Time frame m30

130
🔍 1. Trend Analysis

Past Trend:

From June 10 to around June 14, the price was in a strong uptrend, moving within an ascending channel (highlighted in red and blue).

After mid-June, the trend reversed into a downtrend within a descending channel (also shown in blue).


Current Position:

Price is now breaking out of the descending channel, potentially signaling a trend reversal or short-term recovery.




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📈 Support and Resistance Levels

Key Resistance Levels:

3,347.944 – Intermediate resistance.

3,373.423 – Major short-term resistance and target zone.


Key Support Levels:

3,306.252 – Immediate support below current price.

3,275.459 – Strong support zone (highlighted in red), price bounced here multiple times.




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📉 Pattern Observations

Reversal Pattern:

The recent bounce from 3,275–3,280 region, with rounded bottoms and breakout from the falling channel, suggests a potential bullish reversal.


Fibonacci Retracement:

A retracement level around 0.8279 appears on the chart, indicating that the price has retraced deeply from a recent swing high—another bullish indicator.




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📊 Projection and Trading Outlook

Bullish Scenario (as shown by the arrows on the chart):

If the price holds above 3,306.252, it may move toward:

Target 1: 3,347.944

Target 2: 3,373.423


These are marked in blue boxes on the chart.


Bearish Scenario:

If price fails to hold above 3,306.252 and breaks down again:

Next support is at 3,275.459 (major demand zone).

A breakdown below this zone could signal further downside.





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🧠 Market Sentiment & Cues

Multiple Touchpoints (Orange Circles): Suggest validity of both uptrend and downtrend channels.

Volume Missing: No volume data is present, which would help confirm the breakout’s strength.

Risk Events (Flag icons): These may indicate upcoming US economic events, which could bring volatility.



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✅ Conclusion

Neutral-to-Bullish Bias short term, especially if price holds above 3,306.

Watch for confirmation above 3,347 for further upside.

Risk increases if price drops back into the red demand zone (< 3,275).
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