Head and shoulders; target low 20.XXs

Im a little confused because usually head and shoulders this visible cause more damage than this;

But there seems to be heavy support on the weekly chart at the low 20.XXs;

My gut tells me there should be a bigger drop than that, but if we go simply by the chart, there should be a bounce at the blue line. If it does, crops below that blue line though, then bigger sell off and new formation of a downward channel.