(Technical change on this timeframe is often limited though serves as guidance to potential longer-term moves)
Early February 2018 saw the pair reject 1.4520/1.3893, a 50.0% retracement and 38.2% Fib retracement combination (red). This, along with trendline resistance (2.1161), remains a well-rounded resistance area to keep an eye on long term.
In recent months, a recovery formed off 1.1904/1.2235, clocking highs of 1.3514 in December 2019 and breaking the 1.3380 March 2019 high. The month of February declined nearly 3.00%, with March currently extending losses, consequently reconnecting with 1.1904/1.2235.
Daily timeframe:
As of current price on the daily timeframe, we are seeing buyers defend a 161.8% Fib ext. from 1.2231, shadowed by demand coming in at 1.2178/1.2061. Despite an earnest attempt to highs at 1.2423, demand-turned supply at 1.2404/1.2470 capped upside.
With respect to the RSI indicator, the unit remains within oversold waters, though appears to be flattening.
H4 timeframe:
After retesting the underside of a demand-turned supply at 1.2404/1.2470, demand at 1.2162/1.2220 was tested on Monday; this is the third time price action has revisited this zone. Although the area holds into Asia hours, pencilling in demand from 1.2101/1.2050 may be an idea in the event we travel lower today.
H1 timeframe:
Despite an optimistic start to the week, things quickly turned sour after price action prodded a demand-turned supply zone at 1.2405/1.2460. Price proceeded lower, formed within the limits of a descending channel formation (green - 1.2420/1.2284), tunnelling through 1.23 and bottoming north of 1.22 by a handful of points.
While technical structure remains compressing within the said descending channel pattern, traders are urged to consider the larger descending channel configuration in play (black 1.2964/1.2490). Another support point worthy of note is the 127.2% Fib ext. at 1.2163.
Structures of Interest:
While the market’s trend exhibits a strong bearish tone right now, monthly, daily and H4 timeframes show supportive structures in play. With this being the case, a stop run south of 1.22 could occur today, testing the 127.2% Fib ext. at 1.2163, for an advance back above 1.22, targeting the current H1 channel resistances and 1.23.
Bilgiler ve yayınlar, TradingView tarafından sağlanan veya onaylanan finansal, yatırım, işlem veya diğer türden tavsiye veya tavsiyeler anlamına gelmez ve teşkil etmez. Kullanım Şartları'nda daha fazlasını okuyun.