Disclaimer: I don't post a lot of charts (this is my 2nd idea). I'm also hopeless at forecasting so please don't take this idea too seriously. Also, I'm not an Elliott wave expert - just like the way it looks. :D
Thesis: the 1.29050 level looks to me like a line in the sand. Bulls have to protect this level to avoid the psychological effect of price breaking back into the 1.28000 to 1.28999 range. The importance of such a break is something that I have expressed as an extended Elliott 5th wave going all the way down to 1.23750.
Invalidation: a close above 1.312 invalidates the Elliott count and thus the thesis.
Risk: I'm short from 1.311X with about 2% of my account. Good luck and safe trading!
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