UK CPI inflation unexpectedly dropped to 2.5% year-on-year from 2.7%.
So how does this influence GBP/USD?
The ongoing downturn in the UK bond market signals a bleak economic outlook and rising concerns about inflation during the presidency of Donald Trump’s second term. This scenario may compel the Bank of England (BoE) to implement significant interest rate cuts in response to the fragile economic conditions, potentially driving GBP/USD below 1.2000.
When inflation falls beneath its target, it often indicates a slowdown in economic growth. In such cases, the BoE may opt to lower interest rates to make borrowing cheaper, aiming to encourage businesses to invest in growth-oriented projects. However, this tends to weaken the Pound, as lower interest rates reduce the UK’s appeal as a destination for international investors to allocate their funds.
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