Primary Context
The chart displays a long-term structural analysis on the 12M (Yearly) timeframe, revealing a potential major market setup unfolding. Key areas of interest and decisive moves are clearly marked, showcasing a calculated roadmap for the pair's next moves.
Key Observations
The highlighted purple triangle illustrates an expanding structure with long-term corrective patterns completing their cycle.
Notice the marked (W), (X), (Y) waves, indicating a complex correction nearing its end.
Significant Zones
Sell Side Liquidity (SSL): This is a key liquidity zone (12M), where stop-loss clusters are likely placed by retail traders, providing an area of interest for potential reversal or further bearish continuation.
Buy Side BSL (Break of Structure Level): A potential trap zone where an early breakout could cause retail traders to chase moves prematurely, providing institutional players an opportunity for manipulation.
Equilibrium and Discount Levels
The 50% equilibrium zone highlights a critical balance point between buyers and sellers.
Premium and Discount Areas: Price is hovering near a potential discount zone, creating a favorable environment for long-term buyers looking to enter at value.
Current Market Position:
Point of Rejection
The recent move marks a potential failed new low on the 12M chart, which might serve as a protected swing low.
If this level holds, it could signify the formation of a major impulsive wave upwards.
Dealing Range
Current Weak High A recent high suggests the market is testing liquidity, leaving traders anticipating whether this will lead to a range breakout or a false move.
Future Scenarios
Bullish Case
If the low (around 1.67055) remains protected, expect the market to retrace upward toward the dealing range’s equilibrium (3.72210) or higher.
Confirmation will come from a break of internal BOS (Break of Structure) toward the upside.
Bearish Case
A sustained breakdown below 1.67055 invalidates the bullish view, opening the path for a continuation towards lower liquidity zones.
Traders should monitor for further signs of weakness or momentum shifts near critical levels.
Strategy Execution
For Buyers
Await a strong confirmation of support near 1.67055.
Target zones include the equilibrium (50%) and premium areas for profit-taking.
For Sellers
Look for liquidity sweeps or a rejection of weak highs, indicating exhaustion before entering short positions.
Use liquidity run areas (marked in purple) as guides for potential profit targets.
Key Takeaway
The GBPNZD chart is setting up for a highly strategic long-term move, with strong implications for traders looking to capture significant trends. Whether you're bullish or bearish, patience and alignment with liquidity zones are crucial for success.