Alright, fam, let’s break down GBP/AUD on this Thursday afternoon. We’re looking at a strong move up that’s been grinding higher, but it’s run into some resistance near that 1.9889 weekly level. This is a significant area to watch since it aligns with previous rejections on the weekly.
On the daily chart, we’ve got a rejection candle forming just below the weekly resistance, signaling some potential exhaustion on the bull side. The daily 21 EMA has been trailing upward, showing continued bullish momentum, but with price tapping resistance, we could be setting up for a pullback if the bulls can’t keep the pressure. Ideally, I’d look for confirmation of bearish pressure around 1.9689 (a daily resistance), seeing if the price will fall below it, possibly aiming for the next support around 1.9503 or even 1.9365 on a deeper pullback.
On the 4-hour, it’s showing a potential short setup if we break down below the 1.9624 area, as that aligns with a trendline break and lower timeframe structure shift. I’m looking for a retest of this zone if we get the breakdown, with potential entries around 1.9630 with a target down to 1.9503. Remember, wait for confirmation before pulling the trigger; let the price show you that it’s ready to drop before hopping in.
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