2nd Warning On BRIDGEWATERS 20 bn USD "Big Short"

14 Şub 2018

Story 1: January 23rd, 2018

Quote: "The hedge fund manager (Ray Dalio) said on Jan. 23 in an interview with CNBC that investors will see "a market blowoff" rally fueled by a flood of cash. "If you're holding cash, you're going to feel pretty stupid," he said.

Dalio founded Bridgewater Associates in 1975. The hedge fund now manages about $160 billion, according to its website. Bridgewater also has the biggest cumulative net profit for a hedge fund firm ever, according to data from LCH Investments. From inception to 2017, Dalio's firm posted a nearly $50 billion gain for its investors, the data showed.


Story 2: January 31, 2018: Bridgewater Huge Net Short Positions on Major DAX Stocks announced in the Federal Gazette (gooogle "net short positions, Federal Gazette Germany," and type in "Bridgewater"

Or click on this chart to get facts & figures:

BRIDGEWATER vs. DAX: DAY TO COVER RATIO ON DAX HEAVY WEIGHTED STOCKS (average 30 days) :

Deutsche Telekom AG: 1,93 Days to cover
SAP SE: 2,05 Days to cover
DEUTSCHE BANK AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT: 2,07 Days to cover
Deutsche Post AG: 3,6 (!) Days to cover
Fresenius: SE & Co. KGaA: 2,06 Days to cover
Siemens: 2,01 Days to cover
Allianz SE: 1,9 Days to cover
Münchener Rückversicherungs-Gesellschaft Aktiengesellschaft in München: 2,07 Days to cover
adidas AG: 1,49 Days to cover
BASF SE: 2,75 Days to cover
Bayer Aktiengesellschaft: 2,34 Days to cover
E ON SE: 1,18 Days to cover
Daimler AG: 1,11 Days to cover

To compare this to other net short positons: TESLA is shorted by 18 % of all stocks - but the day to cover ratio of this huge positons is actually just in a range between 2 to maximum 6 tradingdays (!). nasdaq.com/symbol/tsla/short-interest

If ever BRIDGEWATER is wrong about this idea to short the DAX than Europes Bellwether will raise dramatically. BRIDGEWATER is not only shorting the DAX . BRIDGEWATER is shorting also Italien Banks by 3 Billion Euro. BRIDGEWATER is the largest hedgefonds in the world. "Bridgewater manages about $150 billion in global investments for approximately 350 of the largest and most sophisticated institutional clients." Source: bridgewater.com/

If BRIDGEWATER is shorting the DAX and same time "the largest and most sophisticated institutional clients" having long positions in the DAX there are just two options:

a): BRIDGEWATER is bedding against own clients
b): Clients following Bridgewater and this could be close to manipulating the market.

Bridgewater opens its strategy to the public according to Italian Shortpositions on Boomberg TV: Published on February 1th 01 am bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-02-01/bridgewater-triples-wagers-against-italian-firms-to-3-billion

But just a few hours ago bloomberg published this stunning interview on February 1th 05 am: bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-02-01/five-star-leader-vows-to-help-italian-banks-grab-creditor-assets

Story 3: January 5th, 2018

Ray Dalio: Recent market declines are just 'minor corrections,' still lots of cash to buy the dip
The manager of the world's largest hedge fund said the latest moves in the market are "happening sooner than we expected."
cnbc.com/2018/02/05/ray-dalio-recent-market-declines-are-just-minor-corrections.html

Story 4: January 12th 2018

Ray Dalio: Everything Changed In The Last 10 Days zerohedge.com/news/2018-02-12/ray-dalio-everything-changed-last-10-days

Story 5, 6 and 7: Are you supprised ro read next?

14 Şub 2018

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Story 5 January 12th 2018:

Now - talking down the Markets?

Ray Dalio: 'Risks of a recession' are rising

Bridgewater Associates founder Ray Dalio says in a LinkedIn blog post that the Federal Reserve's response to better-than-expected economic data and more fiscal spending may lead to an economic slowdown. "What we do know is that we are in the part of the cycle in which the central banks' getting monetary policy right is difficult and that this time around the balancing act will be especially difficult," he writes. The firm manages about $160 billion, according to its website." cnbc.com/2018/02/12/ray-dalio-risks-of-a-recession-are-rising.html

And: "$160 billion hedge fund exec: 'We’ll probably have a much bigger shakeout coming'"
businessinsider.com/bridgewater-co-cio-bob-prince-on-market-volatility-bigger-shakeout-coming-2018-2

14 Şub 2018

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Story 6 January 14th 2018:

Strong Economic Fundamentals showing solid uptrend. No sign of any recession:

L'INDICE IFO DU CLIMAT ÉCONOMIQUE MONDIAL EST AU PLUS HAUT DEPUIS PLUS DE 10 ANS capital.fr/entreprises-marches/lindice-ifo-du-climat-economique-mondial-est-au-plus-haut-depuis-plus-de-10-ans-1272034
Ifo-Index
Weltwirtschaftsklima so gut wie seit elf Jahren nicht
app.wiwo.de/politik/konjunktur/ifo-index-weltwirtschaftsklima-so-gut-wie-seit-elf-jahren-nicht/20961078.html
Results of the ifo World Economic Survey (WES) for the 1st Quarter 2018
ifo World Economic Climate Improves Considerably
cesifo-group.de/ifoHome/facts/Survey-Results/World-Economic-Survey/World-Economic-Climate/Archive/2018/World-Economic-Climate-20180214.html

14 Şub 2018

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Story 7, January 14th 2018:


BRDIGEWATERS MAJOR SHORT PICKS RISING. Please Click on the charts to load comments, facts & figures:

Italy today up by 400 Points or 1,81%:

BRIDGEWATER BIIGEST SHORT, 1,1 bn, TOTAL SA 5% up from the lows:

Allianz also up from the lows:

Banca Intesa San Paolo

cnbc.com/video/2017/10/13/bridgewaters-ray-dalio-will-lose-his-bet-against-intesa-sanpaolo-ceo.html

14 Şub 2018

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TODAYS UNTOLD BRIDGEWATER STORY:


BRIDGEWATER IS REDUCEING NET SHORT POSITONS.

google: "federal gazzette netto short".

Bridgewater is reducing shorts. But guess how:

1. Selling short positions: Aggressive by high numbers
2. Buying back: "silently, by lower numbers".


So what does this mean?

If you sell high numbers of stocks than you know that you move the markets. If you by small numbers of stocks you try to avoid to move the markets to the upside.

For sure you dont expect shortterm lower stockmarket prices - otherwise you don´t buy back.

The question is:

a) How fast the DAX and all shorted stocks might go up now?
b) At waht point BRIDGEWATER might be forced to increase to buy back short positions?
c) Will this effect the markets going up or to spike to the up side?

Remind: Bridgwater size of shortpositions in DAX heavy weights is still muliple full day turnover.

14 Şub 2018

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Dow clambers 200 points higher as Wall Street dispels inflation jitters
marketwatch.com/story/dow-on-pace-for-4th-win-in-a-row-as-market-braces-for-inflation-data-2018-02-14?siteid=bigcharts&dist=bigcharts

14 Şub 2018

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Dow's rally comes with panic-like buying, as NYSE's Arms falls to lowest level in 15 months marketwatch.com/story/dows-rally-comes-with-panic-like-buying-as-nyses-arms-falls-to-lowest-level-in-15-months-2018-02-14?siteid=bigcharts&dist=bigcharts

15 Şub 2018

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BRIDGEWATER‘s net short position is 22 bn US Dollar not 20 as calculated: mobil.n-tv.de/wirtschaft/Hedgefonds-setzt-Milliarden-auf-Kursrutsch-article20286918.html

15 Şub 2018

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Everybody knows now - Top Story on Zerohedge: Bridgewater's European Short Grows To A Massive $22 Billion: Here Are The Targeted Companies
zerohedge.com/news/2018-02-14/bridgewaters-european-short-grows-massive-22-billion-here-are-targeted-companies

18 Şub 2018

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Latest news & developments: Please click on the chart to load new facts & figures:

18 Şub 2018

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update: Follow the history of headlines - it´s self explaining. The headlines are showing, how long even Zerohedge needs to understand, what´s going on and how huge the short is (fo a single hedgefonds - and for European Stockmarkets). There are also now traders starting to buy what Dalio sold. And they are right in stocks like Airbus wich made a new all time high on Friday, January 16th.


"Fading Ray" - Why One Trader Is Buying What Bridgewater's Selling
zerohedge.com/news/2018-02-14/httpswwwthemacrotouristcomposts20180214bridgewater


Is Bridgewater Betting On Stock Market Disaster?
zerohedge.com/news/2018-02-14/bridgewater-betting-stock-market-disaster

Bridgewater's European Short Grows To A Massive $22 Billion: Here Are The Targeted Companies
zerohedge.com/news/2018-02-14/bridgewaters-european-short-grows-massive-22-billion-here-are-targeted-companies

Dalio's $13 Billion Short: Bridgewater Unveils Its Biggest Ever Short Position
zerohedge.com/news/2018-02-09/dalios-13-billion-short-bridgewater-unveils-its-biggest-ever-short-position

Bridgewater Unveils Its Biggest Short In Years
zerohedge.com/news/2018-02-01/bridgewater-unveils-its-biggest-short-years

Bridgewater Goes From Mocking Cash Holders To Warning A "Bigger Shakeout Is Coming" zerohedge.com/news/2018-02-11/bridgewater-goes-mocking-cash-holders-warning-bigger-shakeout-coming

Is Bridgewater A Fraud? Here Are The Troubling Questions Posed By Jim Grant
zerohedge.com/news/2017-10-11/bridgewater-fraud-here-are-troubling-questions-posed-jim-grant

20 Şub 2018

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BRIDGEWATER, update: Dalio Will Lose on European Bank ‘Big Short,’ Algebris CEO Says bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-02-19/dalio-will-lose-on-european-bank-big-short-algebris-ceo-says

24 Şub 2018

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Ray Dalios biggest mistake, probably ever:

Italian election’s biggest winner is Europe
politico.eu/article/italy-election-2018-biggest-winner-is-europe/

vs.

Bridgewater Triples Bets Against Italian Firms to $3 Billion
Hedge fund firm raises bet against Intesa, shorts Atlantia
Bridgewater raises short positions ahead of national elections
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-02-01/bridgewater-triples-wagers-against-italian-firms-to-3-billion

27 Şub 2018

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Latest update on Bridgewater:

It's Dalio Versus Everyone Else as Money Flows to Europe

I’m surprised. That’s a big bet. Dalio and his team are very confident,” said Rick Herman, managing director of asset allocation who helps oversee about $30 billion at BB&T Institutional Investment Advisors Inc. “That’s definitely out of consensus. European stocks are cheaper, and they also have stronger earnings growth.”
bloombergquint.com/markets/2018/02/26/it-s-dalio-versus-everyone-else-as-money-flows-to-europe-stocks

6 Mar 2018

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Just to compare: US-Investors sold assets for 41 Bn USD in a full month. BRIDGEWATER sold stocks for at least 22 Bn USD just within a few days only. Same time Europe’s Stockmarket is much smaller than the US Stockmarket.

„Investors staged a near-record exodus from US stocks in February

Funds that focus on U.S. stocks saw investors withdraw $41.1 billion in February, according to market data firm TrimTabs.
The total was the third-largest ever and came during a month when the Dow industrials lost about 4 %“ cnbc.com/2018/03/06/investors-staged-a-near-record-exodus-from-us-stocks-in-february.html

9 Mar 2018

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High-performance U.S. tech stocks drive Nasdaq to record high
investing.com/news/stock-market-news/highperformance-us-tech-stocks-drive-nasdaq-to-record-high-1334870

10 Mar 2018

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Treasury Secretary Mnuchin: More countries may be exempted from the tariffs
Canada and Mexico may not be the only two countries getting a break from the U.S. tariffs on imported steel and aluminum.
Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin tells CNBC the process will continue to determine whether other countries should be excused from the duties.
cnbc.com/2018/03/09/treasury-secretary-mnuchin-there-may-be-more-countries-exempted-from-the-tariffs.html

17 Nis 2018

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17 Nis 2018

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17 Nis 2018

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up date: 6th warning on BRIDGEWATER net short positions