DAX Futures FDAX1!) Imbalance Fill Before Bullish Continuation?

13 Tem

Analysis Summary:
1. Current pullback after a strong impulse move suggests a short-term retracement.

2. The imbalance zone (highlighted in red) around 23,970–24,010 may act as a magnet.

3. Alternatively, price may continue lower to tap into 4H demand / liquidity zone before reversing upward.

📌 Educational purpose only. Not financial advice.

Let me know your thoughts or if you see it differently — open to feedback!

13 Tem

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4. Macro Risk: Recent announcement of a 30% tariff on EU goods by Donald Trump could shift sentiment bearish. If imbalance fails, we may see a full CHoCH and deeper downside (if no deal reached by Aug 1st).

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EU holds off $84B tariff response to Trump's 30% threat, hoping talks avoid a trade war. DAX40 took support near 24,059 (before the imbalance)— could bounce if negotiations go well otherwise bearish!

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Update 16 July: Could a PPI beat today trigger short term rally in DAX40 amid ongoing trade discussion and USD strength?

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update 17 July:
Market is tracking the forecast well so far — price is reacting as expected near imbalance and support zones.

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update 20 July: Trump’s demand for a minimum 15%–20% tariff on imports from the European Union is creating bearish sentiment for FDAX heading into next week. A confirmation of this move could trigger further downside

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But if the U.S. and EU agree on a 15% tariff and the EU is okay with it, FDAX might bounce, since markets were expecting something worse

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