Market: FCPOG2025 (PALATAU ANALYSIS)
Güncellendi
Scenario: Accumulation Trading Range Identified
Methodology: Wyckoff Events and Indicators Analysis
Analysis Breakdown
The price appears to be forming an Accumulation Trading Range (ATR) on the 30-minute timeframe, highlighted by the blue box in the chart. However, current price movement suggests two possible scenarios:
Scenario 1: Short-Term Decline
Observation:
Price may first drop into a smaller Local Trading Range (yellow box) before continuing its upward or downward move.
Evidence:
Upthrust (UT) event detected, indicating a false breakout above resistance.
Indicators such as MACD, Stochastic, and RSI show bearish divergence, supporting the likelihood of a downward move.
Trade Plan:
Look for shorting opportunities within the smaller Local Trading Range.
Stop Loss: Above 4769 to limit risks.
Target Profit (TP): Around 4693, a strong support zone reinforced by a trendline. If price breaks below this, the next target would be 4626.
Scenario 2: Larger ATR Wyckoff Events
Observation:
Monitor the blue box area for price action confirming larger Wyckoff events (e.g., Upthrust, Spring).
Upside Movement:
If the price rises towards 4787 (resistance) but fails to break higher, look for an Upthrust Event to short.
Downside Movement:
If the price moves downward, watch for reactions at 4693 and 4626 support levels. If these levels hold and price reverses, this could signal an opportunity for long positions.
Key Levels to Watch
Resistance: 4787.
Support Zones: 4693 (primary), 4626 (secondary).
Indicators
MACD: Showing bearish crossover and divergence.
Stochastic Oscillator: Overbought conditions hinting at a potential decline.
RSI: Exhibiting divergence, adding to bearish sentiment.
Risk Management & Final Notes
Use smaller timeframes to refine entries and exits for tighter stop losses.
Maintain a cautious margin and adapt to new Wyckoff events as they appear on larger timeframes.
Disclaimer
This analysis is based on Wyckoff methodology and technical indicators. It is for educational purposes only and does not guarantee success. Always perform your own research and manage risks responsibly.
Methodology: Wyckoff Events and Indicators Analysis
Analysis Breakdown
The price appears to be forming an Accumulation Trading Range (ATR) on the 30-minute timeframe, highlighted by the blue box in the chart. However, current price movement suggests two possible scenarios:
Scenario 1: Short-Term Decline
Observation:
Price may first drop into a smaller Local Trading Range (yellow box) before continuing its upward or downward move.
Evidence:
Upthrust (UT) event detected, indicating a false breakout above resistance.
Indicators such as MACD, Stochastic, and RSI show bearish divergence, supporting the likelihood of a downward move.
Trade Plan:
Look for shorting opportunities within the smaller Local Trading Range.
Stop Loss: Above 4769 to limit risks.
Target Profit (TP): Around 4693, a strong support zone reinforced by a trendline. If price breaks below this, the next target would be 4626.
Scenario 2: Larger ATR Wyckoff Events
Observation:
Monitor the blue box area for price action confirming larger Wyckoff events (e.g., Upthrust, Spring).
Upside Movement:
If the price rises towards 4787 (resistance) but fails to break higher, look for an Upthrust Event to short.
Downside Movement:
If the price moves downward, watch for reactions at 4693 and 4626 support levels. If these levels hold and price reverses, this could signal an opportunity for long positions.
Key Levels to Watch
Resistance: 4787.
Support Zones: 4693 (primary), 4626 (secondary).
Indicators
MACD: Showing bearish crossover and divergence.
Stochastic Oscillator: Overbought conditions hinting at a potential decline.
RSI: Exhibiting divergence, adding to bearish sentiment.
Risk Management & Final Notes
Use smaller timeframes to refine entries and exits for tighter stop losses.
Maintain a cautious margin and adapt to new Wyckoff events as they appear on larger timeframes.
Disclaimer
This analysis is based on Wyckoff methodology and technical indicators. It is for educational purposes only and does not guarantee success. Always perform your own research and manage risks responsibly.
İşlem aktif
Market Update: FCPOG2025
Time Update: ~14:30
Scenario Update Based on Previous Analysis
Price Movement Observations
As of 14:30, the price has broken above the resistance at 4787, indicating bullish momentum. However, the current focus is on whether the price will:
1. Re-enter the Trading Range (TR), or
2. Continue forming a smaller Local TR for further upward movement.
Updated Analysis
Scenario 1: Potential UT into TR
Key Zone:
Monitor the 4786 area closely.
If the price cannot sustain above this level and reverses downward, it could form a UT event near this zone at TF30.
A UT suggests that bearish momentum may exist, setting up an opportunity for downward.
Entry Plan:
Look for a short position if the UT is confirmed with strong selling activity.
Scenario 2: Continued Upward Movement in Local small TR
Observation:
If the price stays above 4787, it could indicate that the breakout is valid, and the Local TR is being formed for further upside movement.
Entry Plan:
Wait for a potential Spring at the Local small TR or Last Point of Support (LPS) like SOS candle that indicating support before another move upward.
Key Levels to Monitor
Support: 4786 (potential Spring zone).
Resistance: Monitor price behavior around any newly formed highs at 4820. Worried for the UT event may occur.
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